Padres vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - June 28, 2024

Padres at Red Sox

11:10 pm • Apple TV+

San Diego Padres

1-2

9 - 2

Boston Red Sox

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Pivetta			4.14	6-12
R.Vasquez			4.87	4-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 1-2	+1.5-151	o9.5+100	+134
Red Sox 1-2	-1.5+125	u9.5-120	-159

Friday 11:10 p.m.

June 28, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

Over 5 (F5)-110

1.5u

SD +130

1.3u

SD +1.5-154

SD +130

0.65u

BOS -154

1.54u

BOS -0.5 (F5)-130

1.3u

N.Pivetta u5.5 Hits Allowed+110

R.Devers o1.5 Total Bases-125

BOS -176 (F5)

0.44u

Meant to track at -165. Small to -167

Featured Insight
Padres had allowed a run just 28% of the time after an opposing score last season -- third lowest in MLB. The Red Sox answered-back in just 29% of innings after an opponent scored last season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .832 over the last two weeks -- fourth best in MLB. Padres RPs have allowed an OPS of .871 (207 PAs) over the last two weeks -- worst in MLB.

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The Red Sox are 37-9 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

32% of Ha-seong Kim strikeouts are looking since last season -- tied for eighth highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 40% of Brennan Bernardino strikeouts are looking since last season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Dominic Smith has an OPS of just .682 since last season -- 12th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Robert Suarez has allowed an OPS of just .496 (231 PAs) since last season -- second best among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (10/40) against Nick Pivetta this month (4 games) -- lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 43% -- second Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .808 (21 Total Bases / 26 ABs) against right-handed batters -- 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .388 -- fourth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	87-75	43-38	44-37	53-50	34-23
Padres	87-75	45-36	42-39	44-49	42-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	76-82-4	33-45-3	43-37-1	50-50-3	26-30-1
Padres	69-89-4	34-46-1	35-43-3	46-45-2	23-43-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	89-73	48-33	41-40	61-42	28-29
Padres	90-72	52-29	38-43	56-37	33-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 25th	TOR	L 4-9	-1.5 L	O 9.5	TOR -130
Jun 24th	TOR	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	BOS -165
Jun 23rd	@CIN	W 7-4	+1.5 W	O 9.5	BOS +136
Jun 22nd	@CIN	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 9.5	BOS -118
Jun 21st	@CIN	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 9	CIN -115

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Vasquez, P	59	4	1	1
LW.Peralta, P	13	1	0	1
RS.Kolek, P	22	2	2	0
LA.Davis, P	20	1	1	0
LY.Matsui, P	18	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 1B	2-5	1	0	0
2J.Profar, LF	1-3	1	0	0
2T.Wade, PR	0-0	0	0	0
2T.Wade, LF	0-0	0	0	0
3J.Cronenworth, 2B	1-5	1	0	2
4M.Machado, 3B	2-5	1	0	0
5D.Solano, DH	2-3	1	0	2
5D.Peralta, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5D.Peralta, DH	0-1	0	0	0
6J.Merrill, CF	1-5	1	1	3
7H.Kim, SS	1-4	1	0	0
8K.Higashioka, C	1-3	1	1	2
9B.Johnson, RF	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Pivetta, P	73	4	4	5
RG.Weissert, P	25	1	1	4
RC.Anderson, P	61	4	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-5	0	0	0
2D.Hamilton, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
3W.Abreu, RF	1-4	1	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	1-2	1	1	1
4R.Gonzalez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4R.Gonzalez, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
5T.O'Neill, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6M.Yoshida, DH	1-2	0	0	0
7C.Wong, C	1-4	0	0	1
8D.Smith, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	3-4	0	0	0