Pirates vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 3, 2023

Pirates at Red Sox

11:10 pm • MLB Network

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

7 - 6

Boston Red Sox

1-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 0-0	+1.5-145	o9.5-105	+130
Red Sox 1-2	-1.5+120	u9.5-115	-154

Monday 11:10 p.m.

April 03, 2023

Fenway ParkBoston

BOS -145

1.45u

R.Devers o0.5 HR+215

1.08u

fd HR boost shoree

PIT +139

0.7u

make it a full

BOS -140 (F5)

0.5u

Flat risk to -145

PIT +135

1.35u

YARRRRRRRRRRRR

Over 9.5+100

$1.00

R.Devers o1.5 Total Bases-120

0.83u

PIT +135

0.68u

Under 9.5-110

Over 9-120

starting to see 9.5 again so im taking this with cashout available and will cashout my 9.5 if i can for full later… if i cant then i’ll just cash this out

PIT +1.5-150

Over 9.5-105

0.5u

Need -105 or better

Monday's Biggest MLB Betting Model Edge
PJ Walsh•
Apr 3, 2023 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Monday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 3, 2023 UTC

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The Pirates are just 39-85 (.315) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2021 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.

The Red Sox are 69-51 (.575) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2021 season -- 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .539.

Austin Hedges slugged just .216 on breaking pitches from RHP last season -- seventh worst among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- third Percentile. Kutter Crawford threw his slider 38% of the time last season -- tied for ninth highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total SL-- 94th Percentile.

Ke'Bryan Hayes slugged just .276 on breaking pitches from RHP last season -- seventh worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Kutter Crawford threw a breaking pitch 55% of the time last season -- seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Johan Oviedo allowed an OPS of just .375 (61 PA's) against right-handed batters over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .714 -- 99th Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of 29% (66/226) versus Kutter Crawford in 2022 -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- second Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	87-75	43-38	44-37	53-50	34-23
Pirates	90-72	48-33	42-39	19-26	69-45

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	76-82-4	33-45-3	43-37-1	50-50-3	26-30-1
Pirates	61-92-9	33-43-5	28-49-4	17-26-2	42-65-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	89-73	48-33	41-40	61-42	28-29
Pirates	71-91	44-37	27-54	22-23	48-66

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 2nd	BAL	W 9-5	-1.5 W	O 9	BOS -140
Apr 1st	BAL	W 9-8	-1.5 L	O 9.5	BOS -156
Mar 30th	BAL	L 9-10	-1.5 L	O 9	BAL -125
Mar 28th	ATL	L 5-7	+1.5 L	O 9.5	ATL +107
Mar 27th	@ATL	L 1-6	+1.5 L	U 10.5	ATL +129

Johan Oviedo
SP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable

Endy Rodriguez
1B
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Oviedo, P	94	4.2	4	4
RD.Moreta, P	10	0.1	1	0
LR.Zastryzny, P	19	0.2	2	1
RD. Underwood, P	19	1.1	1	0
RC.Holderman, P	19	1	0	0
RD.Bednar, P	12	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1O.Cruz, SS	1-5	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, CF	3-5	3	2	2
3J. Choi, DH	1-3	1	0	0
3A.McCutchen, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3A.McCutchen, DH	0-1	0	0	0
4C.Santana, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	2	0	1
6C. Smith-Njigba, LF	1-2	0	0	2
6C.Joe, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6C.Joe, LF	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Suwinski, RF	1-3	0	0	1
8R.Castro, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Delay, C	1-4	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Crawford, P	93	4	6	7
RZ.Kelly, P	30	2	2	0
LR. Bleier, P	12	1	1	0
RK.Ort, P	14	1	0	0
RR.Brasier, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	3-5	1	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
3J.Turner, DH	0-4	1	0	0
3Y. Chang, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3Y. Chang, DH	0-0	0	0	0
4M.Yoshida, LF	1-4	1	1	2
5A.Duvall, CF	2-3	1	0	1
6T.Casas, 1B	1-5	1	1	2
7C. Arroyo, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7R. Tapia, PH	1-1	0	0	0
8E.Hernandez, SS	0-4	0	0	0
9C.Wong, C	1-4	0	0	0
9R.Refsnyder, PH	0-1	0	0	0