Pirates vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - September 25, 2025

Pirates at Reds

4:40 pm • SportsNet PT
1 - 2
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Nick Lodolo logoN.LodoloCincinnati Reds logo3.339-8
Braxton Ashcraft logoB.AshcraftPittsburgh Pirates logo2.714-4

Pirates at Reds Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates
0-0
+1.5
+1.5-154
o7.5-111
+144
Reds
0-2
u8.5
-1.5+127
u7.5-108
-172
location pinThursday 4:40 p.m.
September 25, 2025
Great American Ball ParkCincinnati
Pirates vs. Reds Expert Picks
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 103-110-9 (+3.5u)
Under 4 (F5)+100
1u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 212-209-9 (+6.3u)
CIN -161 (F5)
0.62u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 127-90-0 (+21.6u)
CIN -169
0.59u
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 154-121-3 (+9.2u)
Under 8.5-115
0.5u
Must-win game for the Reds. I don’t love that Lodolo is projected to face an entire lineup of righties but the Reds probably treat this game as an all-hands-on-deck and won’t leave him out there if he’s struggling or in trouble. On the other side the Pirates are sending out Braxton Ashcraft, who I like long-term. Owns a 2.62 ERA backed by a 3.45 xERA, so I don’t think it’s fluky. His 8.5% BB% and 0.41 HR/9 ratio have been very good. Let’s back the pitching in this game and take the Under 👇

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Pirates vs. Reds Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Pirates

Public

40%

Bets%

60%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Reds
82-7840-3942-3929-4353-34
Pirates
90-7248-3342-3919-2669-45

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Reds
58-91-1126-45-832-46-320-47-537-44-6
Pirates
61-92-933-43-528-49-417-26-242-65-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Reds
83-7944-3538-4339-3343-44
Pirates
71-9144-3727-5422-2348-66

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 24thPITL 3-4-U 7PIT -102
Sep 23rdPITL 2-4-1.5 LU 8PIT -101
Sep 21stCHCW 1-0-1.5 LU 9CIN -126
Sep 20thCHCW 6-3+1.5 WU 9CIN -114
Sep 19thCHCW 7-4+1.5 WO 8CIN -110

Pirates vs. Reds Injury Updates

Pirates Injuries

  • Johan Oviedo
    P

    Oviedo is questionable with elbow

    Questionable

  • Endy Rodriguez
    IF

    Rodriguez is out with elbow

    Out

  • Jared Jones
    P

    Jones is out with elbow

    Out

Reds Injuries

  • Keegan Thompson
    P

    Thompson is out with inactive

    Out

  • Noelvi Marte
    IF

    Marte is day-to-day with side

    Day-to-Day

  • Brandon Williamson
    P

    Williamson is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Graham Ashcraft
    P

    Ashcraft is out with groin

    Out

  • Chase Burns
    P

    Burns is out with hip

    Out

  • Julian Aguiar
    P

    Aguiar is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Rhett Lowder
    P

    Lowder is out with elbow

    Out

  • Carson Spiers
    P

    Spiers is out with shoulder

    Out

Pirates vs. Reds Box Score
Pirates Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Braxton Ashcraft logoRB.Ashcraft, P724.152
Kyle Nicolas logoRK.Nicolas, P241.230
Carmen Mlodzinski logoRC.Mlodzinski, P26200
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Jared Triolo logo1J.Triolo, 3B0-4000
Nick Gonzales logo2N.Gonzales, SS0-4000
Bryan Reynolds logo3B.Reynolds, RF1-4000
Andrew McCutchen logo4A.McCutchen, DH0-4000
Tommy Pham logo5T.Pham, LF1-3000
Joey Bart logo6J.Bart, C0-3000
Alexander Canario logo7A.Canario, CF0-2000
Spencer Horwitz logo7S.Horwitz, PH1-1100
Spencer Horwitz logo7S.Horwitz, 1B1-1100
Rafael Flores logo8R.Flores, 1B0-2000
Jack Suwinski logo8J.Suwinski, PH0-1000
Jack Suwinski logo8J.Suwinski, CF0-1000
Nick Yorke logo9N.Yorke, 2B0-2001
Reds Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Nick Lodolo logoLN.Lodolo, P816.1120
Graham Ashcraft logoRG.Ashcraft, P80.210
Tony Santillan logoRT.Santillan, P16111
Emilio Pagan logoRE.Pagan, P7100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
TJ Friedl logo1T.Friedl, CF2-3100
Noelvi Marte logo2N.Marte, RF1-4101
Gavin Lux logo3G.Lux, 2B2-4001
Matt McLain logo3M.McLain, 2B0-0000
Spencer Steer logo4S.Steer, 1B0-4000
Elly De La Cruz logo5E.De La Cruz, SS0-4000
Miguel Andujar logo6M.Andujar, DH2-4000
Will Benson logo7W.Benson, LF1-3000
Jose Trevino logo8J.Trevino, C0-3000
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo9K.Hayes, 3B2-3000

Pirates vs. Reds Odds Comparison

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Pirates at Reds Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Pirates
0-0
o3.5+106
u3.5-135
Reds
0-2
o4-117
u4-109