Pirates vs Royals Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - July 7, 2025

Pirates at Royals

11:40 pm • FDSKC

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

3 - 9

Kansas City Royals

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Cameron			2.99	9-7
A.Heaney			5.39	5-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 0-0	+1.5	+1.5-169	o8.5-115	+128
Royals 0-0	u8.5	-1.5+140	u8.5-106	-154

Monday 11:40 p.m.

July 07, 2025

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

Under 8.5+100

0.25u

Small to -105

Under 5 (F5)-130

1.3u

Under 5 (F5)-130

0.5u

The biggest thing for me is these are two of the worst teams against left-handed pitching, and both teams are starting lefties (Andrew Heaney and Noah Cameron). This season, the Royals rank 26th in wRC+ versus LHP (73) while the Pirates rank 29th in wRC+ (71). In other words, both offenses have produced runs at a bottom-five rate against southpaws. Cameron has been fantastic this season with a 2.56 ERA backed by a 3.32 xERA. He's only striking out 19.3% of batters which is way lower than his minor league rates, but his underlying metrics look legit. Heaney has also seen a drop in his strikeout rate this season (18.4%) but I'm banking on run prevention in this spot against the Royals.

A.Heaney o15.5 Outs-118

Over 9+105

1.05u

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Under 8.5-104

KC -148

0.34u

N.Cameron o4.5 Ks-122

0.5u

PIT +133

PIT +132

0.5u

Comparable starting pitching and poor hitting - PIT def edge and half run better bullpen estimators L30 days

Under 8.5-105

1.05u

KCR 68/73/59 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7 days, PIT 66/71/82

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MLB Public Betting

Royals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Royals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	76-86	40-41	36-45	22-29	50-57
Pirates	80-82	39-42	41-40	38-44	41-36

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	73-86-3	40-40-1	33-46-2	27-24	45-59-3
Pirates	81-75-6	47-32-2	34-43-4	45-35-2	34-39-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	69-93	41-40	28-53	26-25	40-67
Pirates	82-80	44-37	38-43	47-35	34-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 6th	@ARI	W 4-0	+1.5 W	U 10	KC +131
Jul 5th	@ARI	L 1-7	+1.5 L	U 9	ARI +112
Jul 5th	@ARI	W 9-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	KC -105
Jul 4th	@SEA	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	KC +107
Jul 3rd	@SEA	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 7	SEA +138

Anthony Gose
P
Gose is out with arm
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Heaney, P	76	3	2	4
RC.Shugart, P	42	2.2	1	4
LG.Cabrera, P	27	2	1	1
RD.Bednar, P	4	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Pham, LF	1-3	1	1	2
2A.McCutchen, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3B.Reynolds, RF	1-4	0	0	0
4N.Gonzales, 2B	0-2	1	0	0
5K.Hayes, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6A.Canario, CF	1-4	0	0	1
7H.Davis, C	1-4	1	0	0
8J.Triolo, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
9I.Kiner-Falefa, SS	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Cameron, P	109	7	7	2
RS.Cruz, P	10	1	0	0
RJ.Bowlan, P	21	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	2-4	2	0	0
1T.Tolbert, PH	0-1	0	0	0
1T.Tolbert, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	2-3	2	1	3
3V.Pasquantino, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
4M.Garcia, 3B	2-3	1	0	1
5S.Perez, C	2-4	1	1	2
5L.Maile, C	0-0	0	0	0
6J.Caglianone, RF	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Canha, DH	0-4	0	0	1
8N.Loftin, LF	2-4	1	1	1
9K.Isbel, CF	1-4	1	0	0