Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - May 13, 2025

Rays at Blue Jays

11:07 pm • SN1

Tampa Bay Rays

0-0

11 - 9

Toronto Blue Jays

8-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Berrios			4.18	9-5
S.Baz			4.87	10-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 0-0	+1.5	+1.5-187	o8-106	+116
Blue Jays 8-6	u8	-1.5+155	u8-115	-136

Tuesday 11:07 p.m.

May 13, 2025

Rogers CentreToronto

Under 8-112

1.12u

Under 8-105

1.05u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-125

0.8u

365

TB +110

1.1u

Shane Baz owns the Jays – 2-0 lifetime, 2.12 ERA vs TOR. Berríos struggles vs Rays – 4.52 ERA in 13 starts. Baz’s xwOBA sits at .300 vs Berríos’ .350 – better contact quality. Rays lineup familiar with Berríos' sequencing. Mental edge + matchup edge both lean Tampa. Rays hot on the road – won 7 of last 8 away. Won 6 of last 8 in Toronto – comfort at Rogers Centre matters. Jays offense surging, but due to regress – 29 runs in last 4, but injuries piling up. Santander, Kirk banged up. Varsho recovering. Regression spot vs Baz dominance. Rays lineup due – went 3-for-24 w/ RISP last series, unsustainable for this talent. Berríos hittable, underwhelming vs TB. Rays bullpen stronger recently – 3.22 ERA vs Jays’ 4.03.

B.Lowe o0.5 HR+625

0.5u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-115

Mostly just an off line at Caesars , don't go past the -125 at FD

J.Berrios o5.5 Ks+130

Strikeout rate has been up since the second half of 2024 with a potential shift in how he's throwing his changeup (velocity is increased on that pitch). Has gotten to eight-plus strikeouts in consecutive starts. Now that he's at home in a plus matchup, I have Berrios projected for 6.33 strikeouts.

TB +110

3.3u

Over 8-105

TOR -120

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MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Blue Jays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	91-71	49-32	42-39	42-45	48-25
Rays	73-89	35-46	38-43	29-46	43-41

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	86-71-5	45-34-2	41-37-3	46-40-1	39-30-4
Rays	71-81-10	36-41-4	35-40-6	32-37-6	38-42-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	94-68	54-27	40-41	52-35	41-32
Rays	77-85	41-40	36-45	42-33	34-50

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 11th	@SEA	W 9-1	+1.5 W	O 8	TOR +154
May 11th	@SEA	W 6-3	+1.5 W	O 8.5	TOR +118
May 10th	@SEA	W 6-3	+1.5 W	O 7	TOR +126
May 9th	@LAA	W 8-5	-1.5 W	O 8.5	TOR -135
May 8th	@LAA	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	LAA -118

Alex Faedo
RP
Faedo is out with shoulder
Out
Taylor Walls
SS
Walls is out with groin
Out
Shane McClanahan
SP
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out

Bowden Francis
SP
Francis is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Baz, P	86	4.2	6	3
RM.Rodriguez, P	16	1.1	2	0
LG.Cleavinger, P	11	1	1	1
RE.Uceta, P	28	1	1	3
RP.Fairbanks, P	18	0.2	1	2
LM.Montgomery, P	4	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Simpson, LF	2-5	2	0	1
2B.Lowe, DH	2-4	2	0	2
3J.Caminero, 3B	1-5	1	1	4
4J.Aranda, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
5K.Misner, CF	1-5	1	0	0
6J.Caballero, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
7T.Walls, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8T.Jankowski, RF	0-3	1	0	0
9D.Jansen, C	2-3	2	1	1
9C.Morel, PR	0-0	1	0	0
9B.Rortvedt, C	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Berrios, P	83	5.1	4	4
LM.Fluharty, P	18	1.1	1	1
RC.Green, P	14	1.1	1	0
RJ.Hoffman, P	21	0.1	1	5
RB.Fisher, P	6	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Bichette, SS	2-4	2	1	3
2V.Guerrero, 1B	1-4	1	0	1
3A.Santander, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4G.Springer, RF	0-3	1	0	0
5D.Varsho, CF	2-5	2	2	4
6E.Clement, 2B	2-4	1	1	1
7A.Barger, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
8T.Heineman, C	2-4	1	0	0
9N.Lukes, LF	0-2	0	0	0
9M.Straw, PH	1-2	1	0	0
9M.Straw, LF	1-2	1	0	0