Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - May 13, 2025

Rays at Blue Jays

11:07 pm • SN1

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Tampa Bay Rays

18-22

Toronto Blue Jays

20-20

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Berrios			3.86	1-1
S.Baz			4.93	3-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 18-22	+1.5	+1.5-185	o8-106	+118
Blue Jays 20-20	u8	-1.5+154	u8-112	-138

Tuesday 11:07 p.m.

May 13, 2025

Rogers CentreToronto

63°Fahrenheit

32%Rain

10Wind

Under 8-105

1.05u

TB +110

Shane Baz owns the Jays – 2-0 lifetime, 2.12 ERA vs TOR. Berríos struggles vs Rays – 4.52 ERA in 13 starts. Baz’s xwOBA sits at .300 vs Berríos’ .350 – better contact quality. Rays lineup familiar with Berríos' sequencing. Mental edge + matchup edge both lean Tampa. Rays hot on the road – won 7 of last 8 away. Won 6 of last 8 in Toronto – comfort at Rogers Centre matters. Jays offense surging, but due to regress – 29 runs in last 4, but injuries piling up. Santander, Kirk banged up. Varsho recovering. Regression spot vs Baz dominance. Rays lineup due – went 3-for-24 w/ RISP last series, unsustainable for this talent. Berríos hittable, underwhelming vs TB. Rays bullpen stronger recently – 3.22 ERA vs Jays’ 4.03.

B.Lowe o0.5 HR+625

0.5u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-115

1.15u

Mostly just an off line at Caesars , don't go past the -125 at FD

J.Berrios o5.5 Ks+130

Strikeout rate has been up since the second half of 2024 with a potential shift in how he's throwing his changeup (velocity is increased on that pitch). Has gotten to eight-plus strikeouts in consecutive starts. Now that he's at home in a plus matchup, I have Berrios projected for 6.33 strikeouts.

TB +110

Over 8-105

1.05u

TOR -120

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MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 13-8 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 11 of Blue Jays' 19 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	25-15	12-7	13-8	9-6	16-8
Rays	18-22	11-17	7-5	8-13	10-8

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	20-20	11-8	9-12	8-7	11-13
Rays	15-23-2	11-15-2	4-8	8-11-2	7-11

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	20-20	11-8	9-12	9-6	11-13
Rays	18-22	11-17	7-5	10-11	8-10

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 11th	@SEA	W 9-1	+1.5 W	O 8	TOR +154
May 11th	@SEA	W 6-3	+1.5 W	O 8.5	TOR +118
May 10th	@SEA	W 6-3	+1.5 W	O 7	TOR +126
May 9th	@LAA	W 8-5	-1.5 W	O 8.5	TOR -135
May 8th	@LAA	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	LAA -118

Josh Lowe
OF
Lowe is out with oblique
Out
Alex Faedo
P
Faedo is out with shoulder
Out
Shane McClanahan
P
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out
Jake Mangum
OF
Mangum is out with groin
Out
Richie Palacios
IF
Palacios is out with knee
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out
Jonny DeLuca
OF
DeLuca is out with shoulder
Out

Spencer Turnbull
P
Turnbull is out with back
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		W-L	ERA	WHIP	K/9
RS.Baz, P		3-2	4.93	1.330	9.39

HITTERS	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR
1C.Simpson, LF	.260	.295	.301	0
2B.Lowe, DH	.190	.243	.307	5
3J.Caminero, 3B	.248	.277	.434	7
4J.Aranda, 1B	.342	.429	.553	5
5K.Misner, CF	.260	.313	.433	3
6J.Caballero, 2B	.235	.323	.346	1
7T.Walls, SS	.206	.295	.258	1
8T.Jankowski, RF	.320	.333	.400	0
9D.Jansen, C	.160	.313	.222	1

PITCHER		W-L	ERA	WHIP	K/9
RJ.Berrios, P		1-1	3.86	1.414	8.68

HITTERS	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR
1B.Bichette, SS	.281	.330	.386	2
2V.Guerrero, 1B	.285	.379	.411	4
3A.Santander, DH	.196	.275	.336	5
4G.Springer, RF	.297	.404	.517	5
5D.Varsho, CF	.194	.250	.516	3
6E.Clement, 2B	.267	.295	.324	0
7A.Barger, 3B	.241	.305	.407	1
8T.Heineman, C	.385	.390	.538	1
9N.Lukes, LF	.279	.384	.410	2