Reds vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - September 11, 2025

Reds at Padres

12:40 am • FDSOH
2 - 1
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Nick Pivetta logoN.PivettaSan Diego Padres logo2.8713-5
Andrew Abbott logoA.AbbottCincinnati Reds logo2.8710-7

Reds at Padres Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds
42-50
+1.5
+1.5-181
o7.5-104
+126
Padres
46-47
u7.5
-1.5+151
u7.5-117
-149
location pinThursday 12:40 a.m.
September 11, 2025
Petco ParkSan Diego
Reds vs. Padres Expert Picks
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 37-32-2 (+0.2u)
Under 7.5-108
1u
Tailing @Bet_Labs
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+2.6u)
Under 7.5-110
0.91u
Wags Wins
Wags Wins
Last 30d: 162-167-2 (-21.1u)
CIN +126
1.26u
Matt Trollo
Matt Trollo
Last 30d: 97-118-4 (-15.2u)
A.Abbott o4.5 Ks+136
0.68u
24.8 K%, 11.7 SwStr% L5 - avg 24 BF
Ryan Minion
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 241-290-17 (-16.7u)
F.Tatis o1.5 Total Bases+110
$1.10
F.Tatis o0.5 Singles-110
$1.00
SD -125 (F5)
$1.00
Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-125
$1.00
SD -135
$1.35
Bet Labs
Bet Labs
Last 30d: 3-8-1 (-5.6u)
Under 7.5-110
1u
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 175-178-15 (-19.1u)
CIN +130
1.3u
Lines at Lunch
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 7.5-110
1u
Doug Ziefel
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 151-178-17 (+6.5u)
N.Pivetta o4.5 Hits Allowed+105
0.48u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 126-130-7 (-5.8u)
CIN +150
0.75u
Bet to +135
Matt Trollo
Matt Trollo
Last 30d: 97-118-4 (-15.2u)
CIN +150
1.5u
Abbotto may be legit FIP/xFIP beater (around a run over 400 inning career), Pivetta 3.65 SIERA/3.80 xERA - SDP 93 wRC+ v LHP, CIN 98 vs RHP - SDP strong, but not great bullpen estimators L30 days - CIN decent def edge + top base running team.

Reds vs. Padres Previews & Analysis

  • Reds vs Padres: Value on the Total in Low-Scoring Matchup article feature image

    Reds vs Padres: Value on the Total in Low-Scoring Matchup

    Nick Martin
    Sep 10, 2025 UTC
  • Zerillo's Opening Pitch for Wednesday article feature image

    Zerillo's Opening Pitch for Wednesday

    Sean Zerillo
    Sep 10, 2025 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Reds vs. Padres Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Reds

Public

19%

Bets%

81%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Padres
50-4326-2224-2119-1931-24
Reds
49-4323-2426-1915-1234-30

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Padres
40-52-120-27-120-2514-23-126-29
Reds
52-39-126-2126-18-118-934-29-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Padres
46-4725-2321-2421-1725-30
Reds
42-5021-2621-2416-1126-38

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 10thCINL 2-4-1.5 LU 7.5CIN -195
Sep 9thCINW 4-3-1.5 LU 7.5SD -140
Sep 7th@COLW 8-1-1.5 WU 11SD -269
Sep 7th@COLW 10-8-1.5 WO 11.5SD -191
Sep 6th@COLL 0-3-1.5 LU 10.5COL -220

Reds vs. Padres Injury Updates

Reds Injuries

    Padres Injuries

    • Joe Musgrove
      SP

      Musgrove is out with elbow

      Out

    Reds vs. Padres Box Score
    Reds Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Andrew Abbott logoLA.Abbott, P102861
    Tony Santillan logoRT.Santillan, P13110
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    TJ Friedl logo1T.Friedl, CF1-3100
    Noelvi Marte logo2N.Marte, RF0-5000
    Elly De La Cruz logo3E.De La Cruz, SS1-5101
    Austin Hays logo4A.Hays, LF1-3000
    Gavin Lux logo5G.Lux, DH0-3000
    Miguel Andujar logo5M.Andujar, PH1-1001
    Will Benson logo5W.Benson, PR0-0000
    Will Benson logo5W.Benson, DH0-0000
    Sal Stewart logo6S.Stewart, 1B0-4000
    Tyler Stephenson logo7T.Stephenson, C0-4000
    Ke'Bryan Hayes logo8K.Hayes, 3B2-3000
    Matt McLain logo9M.McLain, 2B1-3000
    Padres Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Nick Pivetta logoRN.Pivetta, P101780
    Kyle Hart logoLK.Hart, P140.211
    Adrian Morejon logoLA.Morejon, P220.201
    Yuki Matsui logoLY.Matsui, P130.210
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Fernando Tatis logo1F.Tatis, RF2-4111
    Luis Arraez logo2L.Arraez, 2B1-4000
    Luis Arraez logo2L.Arraez, 1B1-4000
    Manny Machado logo3M.Machado, 3B0-4000
    Gavin Sheets logo4G.Sheets, DH1-3000
    Jose Iglesias logo4J.Iglesias, PR0-0000
    Ramon Laureano logo5R.Laureano, LF1-4000
    Jackson Merrill logo6J.Merrill, CF0-4000
    Ryan O'Hearn logo7R.O'Hearn, 1B0-3000
    Mason McCoy logo7M.McCoy, SS0-0000
    Bryce Johnson logo7B.Johnson, PH0-1000
    Jake Cronenworth logo8J.Cronenworth, SS1-2000
    Jake Cronenworth logo8J.Cronenworth, 2B1-2000
    Elias Diaz logo9E.Diaz, C0-3000

    Reds vs. Padres Odds Comparison

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    Reds at Padres Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Reds
    42-50
    N/A
    N/A
    Padres
    46-47
    N/A
    N/A