Rockies vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - September 5, 2024

Rockies at Braves

11:20 pm • BSSO

Colorado Rockies

15-14

3 - 1

Atlanta Braves

20-7

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Lopez			1.99	8-5
A.Gomber			4.75	5-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rockies 15-14	+1.5+110	o8-120	+225
Braves 20-7	-1.5-130	u8-110	-280

Thursday 11:20 p.m.

September 05, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

ATL -1.5-126

1.26u

ATL -1.5-130

$1.30

Over 8-112

0.56u

Over 8.5+105

ATL -1.5-132

ATL o2.5 Team Total (F5)-114

1.14u

@sandyplashkes

ATL o2.5 Team Total (F5)-114

1.14u

R.Lopez u6.5 Ks+122

0.41u

COL +230

2.3u

I have the Rockies as sizeable dogs, but not this large, All I have for you is a much better defensive and base running team facing a pitcher who's estimators are more than a run and a half above his ERA.

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Featured Insight
Braves have a strikeout rate of 30% this month -- fifth highest in MLB. Rockies have struck out 35% this month -- highest in MLB.

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The Braves are just 2-7 (.222) after a win as underdogs this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Ezequiel Tovar has struck out in 28% of PA's since last season -- 11th highest in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Charlie Morton has a strikeout rate of 28% vs left-handed batters since last season -- eighth highest among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP-- 92nd Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .094 (9-for-96) against Reynaldo Lopez with runners in scoring position this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: .251 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	72-89	32-49	40-40	44-61	27-27
Rockies	66-96	34-47	32-49	3-2	63-94

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	72-80-9	33-45-3	39-35-6	46-54-5	25-25-4
Rockies	71-85-6	39-38-4	32-47-2	3-2	68-83-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	76-86	39-42	36-44	55-50	19-35
Rockies	43-119	25-56	18-63	2-3	41-116

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 4th	COL	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -285
Sep 3rd	COL	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	ATL -372
Sep 1st	@PHI	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 8	PHI +110
Aug 31st	@PHI	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 7.5	PHI +142
Aug 30th	@PHI	W 7-2	+1.5 W	O 7.5	ATL +120

Kris Bryant
DH
Bryant is out with back
Out

Mickey Moniak
RF
Moniak is questionable with finger
Questionable
Tyler Freeman
RF
Freeman is questionable with finger
Questionable

Joey Wentz
RP
Wentz is out with knee
Out
Sean Murphy
C
Murphy is out with hip
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
SS
Kim is out with finger
Out
Spencer Strider
SP
Strider is out with oblique
Out
Spencer Schwellenbach
SP
Schwellenbach is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out with elbow
Out
Hurston Waldrep
SP
Waldrep is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Gomber, P		92	8	6	1
RT.Kinley, P		15	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Blackmon, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2E.Tovar, SS	2-4	1	1	1
3B.Doyle, CF	1-4	0	0	0
4R.McMahon, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
5B.Rodgers, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
6M.Toglia, 1B	1-3	2	1	1
7N.Jones, LF	1-3	0	0	1
8H.Goodman, C	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Beck, RF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Lopez, P	91	6	11	2
RL.Jackson, P	19	0.2	0	0
LA.Bummer, P	27	1.1	3	0
RJ.Brebbia, P	11	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Harris, CF	0-4	0	0
2J.Soler, RF	1-4	1	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	2-4	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-4	0	0
5R.Laureano, LF	1-3	0	1
6S.Murphy, C	0-3	0	0
7O.Arcia, SS	1-3	0	0
8G.Urshela, 3B	0-3	0	0
9L.Williams, 2B	0-3	0	0