Tigers vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - July 6, 2024

Tigers at Reds

8:10 pm • BSOH

Detroit Tigers

4-4

5 - 3

Cincinnati Reds

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Greene			2.75	9-5
A.Faedo			3.61	5-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 4-4	+1.5	+1.5-148	o9-120	+136
Reds 0-2	u9	-1.5+124	u9+100	-162

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

July 06, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

Under 9+100

0.5u

H.Greene o17.5 Outs-140

0.71u

Featured Insight
Tigers have a strikeout rate of 29% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB. Reds left-handed hitters have struck out 27% against RHP over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB.

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The Tigers are 13-1 (.929) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

32% of Elly De La Cruz strikeouts are looking since last season -- tied for ninth highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. 42% of Jason Foley strikeouts are looking since last season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Zach McKinstry is batting just .176 this season -- tied for sixth worst among hitters with at least 129 total PA's-- second Percentile. Left handed batters are hitting just .189 (34-for-180) against Hunter Greene this season -- sixth best among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 36 of Casey Mize's 192 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 19%) this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 34% -- 0 Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .321 (52-for-162) against Casey Mize this season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .243 -- third Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Reds' 79 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	82-78	40-39	42-39	29-43	53-34
Tigers	73-89	41-40	32-49	49-64	24-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	58-91-11	26-45-8	32-46-3	20-47-5	37-44-6
Tigers	83-72-7	41-35-5	42-37-2	58-49-6	24-22-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	83-79	44-35	38-43	39-33	43-44
Tigers	87-75	46-35	41-40	64-49	23-24

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 5th	DET	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9	DET -130
Jul 4th	@NYY	W 8-4	+1.5 W	O 9.5	CIN +152
Jul 3rd	@NYY	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 9	CIN +154
Jul 2nd	@NYY	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CIN +180
Jun 30th	@STL	L 0-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	STL -105

Alex Cobb
SP
Cobb is out with hip
Out
Jose Urquidy
SP
Urquidy is out with arm
Out
Reese Olson
SP
Olson is out with shoulder
Out
Ty Madden
SP
Madden is out with shoulder
Out

Noelvi Marte
3B
Marte is day-to-day with side
Day-to-Day
Reiver Sanmartin
RP
Sanmartin is out with elbow
Out
Brandon Williamson
SP
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Graham Ashcraft
RP
Ashcraft is out with groin
Out
Chase Burns
SP
Burns is out with hip
Out
Julian Aguiar
SP
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
SP
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
RP
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Faedo, P	25	2	2	0
RB.Brieske, P	40	2.1	5	2
LT.Holton, P	33	1.2	2	0
RS.Miller, P	32	2	3	0
RJ.Foley, P	10	0.2	0	1
LA.Chafin, P	6	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Vierling, 3B	0-4	1	0	0
2C.Keith, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
2A.Ibanez, PH	0-1	1	0	0
2A.Ibanez, 2B	0-1	1	0	0
3M.Canha, RF	1-4	0	0	1
3Z.McKinstry, PR	0-0	1	0	0
3Z.McKinstry, SS	0-0	1	0	0
4R.Greene, LF	0-3	0	0	1
5C.Kelly, C	1-3	0	0	1
6J.Malloy, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7G.Urshela, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
8P.Meadows, CF	2-4	1	0	0
9R.Kreidler, SS	0-2	0	0	0
9W.Perez, PH	1-2	1	1	2
9W.Perez, RF	1-2	1	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Greene, P	104	7	7	0
RF.Cruz, P	17	0.1	0	3
LS.Moll, P	20	0.1	0	2
RL.Sims, P	17	0.1	0	0
LJ.Wilson, P	17	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Candelario, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4S.Steer, 1B	1-3	2	1	1
5N.Martini, LF	1-3	1	0	0
5N.Martini, RF	1-3	1	0	0
6T.Stephenson, C	1-4	0	0	2
7N.Marte, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
8W.Benson, RF	0-1	0	0	0
8B.Dunn, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8B.Dunn, LF	0-2	0	0	0
8E.Rios, PH	0-0	0	0	0
8S.Espinal, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9S.Fairchild, CF	0-2	0	0	0