2022 MLB Win Totals Tracker: Dodgers, Yankees, Astros Have Highest Expectations
Winslow Townson/Getty Images. Pictured: Aaron Judge
2022 MLB Win Totals
Totals via WynnBET and as of March 10.
The 2022 MLB season is finally nearly here, with the lockout over and a full, 162-game schedule on tap.
Win totals are among the most popular future bets on the market. Think of it as a long-term investment. You either believe in a team or you don’t, you throw down some cash on your belief, and you wait to rake in the rewards.
The win totals for the 2022 season released by WynnBET range from the Dodgers at 95 all the way down to the Orioles at 60.5. Let’s take a look at every team and how they’ve fared based on these win totals in the recent past.
Los Angeles Dodgers (95)
It’s no surprise to see a lofty total attached to Los Angeles. Excluding the pandemic-shortened 2020 season, the Dodgers have done over this total in three of the last four seasons. They won 106 in 2021.
New York Yankees (93)
The Yankees always have lofty expectations and this year is no different. The 2021 season was a disappointing one as they won just 92 games and were bounced in the Wild Card Game by the rival Red Sox, but they went over this total in 2018 and 2019.
Houston Astros (92)
The defending American League champions are poised for another big season and have soared over this total with regularity recently. The Astros won 95 games a year ago and at least 101 games in each season from 2017 through 2019.
Chicago White Sox (91.5)
The White Sox are brimming with young talent, and after taking a giant leap up to 93 wins in 2021 are hoping for more this year. Prior to the 2021 season, the White Sox hadn’t won this many games since 2005.
San Diego Padres (91.5)
The Padres were one of MLB’s most disappointing teams in 2021, winning just 79 games and finishing in third place in the NL West. Expectations are high once again this year, hence the high win total. The last time the Padres won even 90 games in a season was 2010, although if you prorate their shortened 2020 season record they would’ve hit it.
Toronto Blue Jays (91)
The Blue Jays are looking for another leap in 2022 after jumping up to exactly 91 wins a season ago. Their last time winning this many games prior to that was in 2015.
Boston Red Sox (90)
The Red Sox surpassed expectations a season ago and went over this total, winning 92 and making it all the way to the ALCS. They’ve been up-and-down for a few years now, but bring back most of that core and are primed to contend yet again.
Tampa Bay Rays (89.5)
The Rays perennially beat their win total and are coming off a season where they won a cool 100 games and held off the Red Sox, Yankees and Blue Jays for the AL East crown. Another big season is expected, led by young phenom Wander Franco.
New York Mets (88.5)
There’s renewed optimism in Queens after a disappointing, 77-win 2021 campaign. The Mets added Max Scherzer and Starling Marte prior to the lockout and are looking to contend in the competitive NL East.
Milwaukee Brewers (88.5)
The Brewers surprised many by winning 95 games and running away with the NL Central title in 2021. Another 90-win season is the expectation this year, led by the starting pitching trio of Corbin Burnes, Brandon Woodruff and Freddy Peralta.
Atlanta Braves (88)
The defending World Series champions won just 88 games a year ago, but it was enough to come out on top in the National League East. The Braves have a ton of talent and will be looking to replicate that feat again this year.
St. Louis Cardinals (86)
The Cardinals surged late to surpass their win total late in the 2021 season. Most of that core returns, including veterans Yadier Molina and Adam Wainwright. Flirting with 90 wins and contending in the NL Central should once again be their expectation.
San Francisco Giants (85.5)
The biggest surprise in baseball last year by far was the Giants, who won 107 games and ended the Dodgers’ streak of NL West titles. San Fran will be replacing the retired Buster Posey with Joey Bart and lost Kevin Gausman in free agency. Can they do it again?
Seattle Mariners (84.5)
Expectations haven’t been this high in Seattle in a very long time. The Mariners win 90 games in 2021 but still didn’t snap their postseason drought, which dates all the way back to 2001. The addition of Robbie Ray and several young talents has them hoping for more this year.
Los Angeles Angels (84)
The Angels haven’t won this many games since 2015 and haven’t been to the postseason since 2014. Still, they have Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani. Nobody else does. Will they continue to disappoint, or finally get that duo to October?
Philadelphia Phillies (83)
The second-longest postseason drought in MLB belongs to the Phillies, who have regularly sat right around the .500 mark for the last four seasons. The last time they won as many as 83 games? That would be in 2011, which doubles as their last postseason appearance.
Oakland Athletics (79)
The A’s are another team that regularly beats expectations. They’re low this season, but it might actually make sense this time around. The last time the Athletics won fewer than 80 games in a season was 2017.
Cincinnati Reds (77.5)
Cincinnati took a mini-leap in 2021, beating expectations to win 83 games. Before that, it was a plethora of below-.500 seasons. It will be tough for the Reds to top St. Louis and Milwaukee in the NL Central, but flirting with an average mark isn’t out of the question.
Detroit Tigers (77.5)
Is this the year of the Tigers? They won 77 games a year ago, a big leap considering they hadn’t won as many as 70 since 2016. They have a lot of young talent and are looking to leap up the AL Central standings.
Cleveland Guardians (76.5)
The flip side of the Tigers are the Guardians, who last year finished below .500 for the first time since 2012. An unwillingness to pay for elite talent has finally caught up to them, and another losing season seems likely.
Miami Marlins (76)
The Marlins are a complicated bunch. They have tons of young talent, but simply won’t spend money. They surprised during the pandemic-shortened 2020 season but fell back to 67 wins in 2021. The last time they won as many as 76 games was in 2017, and their last winning record over a full season was way back in 2009.
Kansas City Royals (76)
Another team with a lot of young talent, the Royals are looking to make a leap behind Bobby Witt Jr. and a load of young arms. They won 74 a year ago, and while it will be tough for them to get past the White Sox in the AL Central, this win total is attainable.
Minnesota Twins (74)
The Twins were among the biggest disappointments in 2021, following up back-to-back divisional titles with a 73-win season. Prognosticators expect more struggles in Minnesota this year.
Chicago Cubs (72.5)
The Cubs won 71 games a year ago, tanking after trading all of their stars around the trade deadline. It’s somewhat surprising to see their total listed so high in what is expected to be a full-on rebuilding year.
Texas Rangers (71.5)
The Rangers spent a boatload of money early in the offseason on Marcus Semien, Corey Seager and Jon Gray. Expectations aren’t that high still, however, but hitting this win total would still institute a 12-win improvement on last year’s 60-win campaign.
Colorado Rockies (71)
The Rockies remain middling, not quite the worst in the league but leaps and bounds from contending with their NL West rivals. They went over their win total with 74 a year ago, but don’t have lofty expectations this year.
Washington Nationals (68.5)
This low win total is reflective of the Nationals going all-in on a rebuild last year, trading away Max Scherzer and Trea Turner at the deadline. The Nats won the World Series in 2019, but will struggle to win 70 games in 2022.
Arizona Diamondbacks (65)
Nobody expected the Diamondbacks to be good in 2021, but I don’t think anyone expected a 52-win season. Better luck would lead to more wins, and 65 would represent a vast improvement.
Pittsburgh Pirates (65)
Some of the young talent the Pirates have acquired is starting to show itself in Pittsburgh, namely Ke’Bryan Hayes and Oneil Cruz. But this team is still a few years away. Getting over 65 would represent an improvement on last season’s 61-win campaign.
Baltimore Orioles (60.5)
The Orioles are the worst team in baseball and have lost at least 108 games in each of the last three full seasons. They would hit the over and still lose 100 games in 2022.
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