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Angels vs. Dodgers MLB Odds, Pick & Preview: Offensive Breakout Coming Against Noah Syndergaard & Tony Gonsolin? (Tuesday, June 14)

Angels vs. Dodgers MLB Odds, Pick & Preview: Offensive Breakout Coming Against Noah Syndergaard & Tony Gonsolin? (Tuesday, June 14) article feature image
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Jim McIsaac/Getty Images. Pictured: Noah Syndergaard and Max Stassi

  • The Dodgers are strong home favorites against the visiting Angels tonight.
  • Tony Gonsolin is on the mound for the Dodgers, while Noah Syndergaard takes the bump for the Angels.
  • Continue reading for a full breakdown of this matchup, including a betting pick.

Angels vs. Dodgers Odds

Angels Odds +165
Dodgers Odds -185
Over/Under 8.5
Time 10:10 p.m. ET
TV TBS
Odds via Caesars. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.

The Angels may have snapped their long losing streak last week, but they’re still on a nine-game road losing streak as they head from Anaheim to Los Angeles for the start of a series with the Dodgers.

Noah Syndergaard will take the mound for the Angels, having received some extra rest after being scratched from a weekend contest vs the Mets.

The Dodgers will look to snap a three-game losing streak themselves after an embarrassing sweep at the hands of the rival Giants over the weekend. Tony Gonsolin will get the start looking to build on what has been a fantastic start to the season.

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Can Angels Start To Hit Again?

Short Shohei Ohtani, the Angels disappointed on Sunday night against Taijuan Walker and the Mets and continue to post lowly results at the plate overall.

However, with Anthony Rendon and now likely Taylor Ward back in the lineup, and Mike Trout showing lots of signs of a return to form at the plate, I am very willing to go back to the well on the narrative that this Angels lineup is going to trend upward.

We saw early on this season just how potent this group can be at the plate, and entering tonight’s game the only key piece who should remain out of the lineup will be David Fletcher.

Altogether this season, the Angels have the eighth-best xWOBA (.339) and seventh-best xSLG (.467).

Syndergaard has shown strong results so far this season in his return from injury, but has an  xERA of 4.57 and a very concerning K-rate of just 15.4%.

Dodgers’ Gonsolin Due For Regression

Gonsolin has appeared to labor more than his excellent ERA of 1.58 suggests, and it’s not surprising to me to see that his BABIP sits at lowly .193. When that regresses closer to league average, Gonsolin’s results will look far less dominant.

Gonsolin is also sporting one of the league’s highest strand rates at 88.1%,  and taken in combination with his opponents BABIP, it’s a pretty firm comment that more earned runs will be coming soon.

The good news for Dodgers fans is that their potent lineup should match up well against Syndergaard, who is due for worse results moving forward.

The Dodgers have been the third most productive lineup in the league versus right-handed pitching, with a 117 wRC+ and a .334 wOBA, which is far from surprising considering the historic marks of the talents on hand.

Angels-Dodgers Pick

Each of these team’s have struggled offensively of late, but both are very obvious candidates for positive regression with the talent on hand.

Gonsolin has not been as dominant as his surface level numbers indicate, and I believe we will see his play continue to regress moving forward this season.

The Angels should be fielding as close to it’s ideal lineup as we have seen in months, and I believe that will result in a reasonable offensive output in this spot.

The Dodgers’ recent results would not look hardly as bad with more standard numbers with runners in scoring position, and it’s obvious to say that when those averages stabilize, this high-powered offence will continue to do serious damage.

Thus, I am seeing the most value backing each side to manage a little bit of offense in this one.

A single-game parlay of the Angels team total to go over 2.5, and the Dodgers team total to go over 2.5 sits at -110, and I see some value at that price.

Pick: Single Game Parlay (Angels Team Total Over 2.5, Dodgers Team Total Over 2.5 -110)

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