Angels vs Mets Prediction Today | MLB Odds, Picks for Sunday, August 27
Pictured: David Peterson. (Photo by Alex Slitz/Getty Images)
Angels vs. Mets Odds
The third and final game of this interleague series gets underway Sunday as the NL East's New York Mets host the AL West's Los Angeles Angels.
Los Angeles won each of the first two matchups by a combined score of 8-4. Will the Angels complete the sweep, or can New York end the series on a high note?
Here's a look at the odds and my Angels vs. Mets betting pick and prediction.
It's been yet another disappointing campaign for the Angels, who are going to miss the playoffs despite rostering the two best players in baseball.
The hitting hasn't been terrible, but it hasn't been great either as Los Angeles ranks near the middle of the league in runs scored per game, hits per game and batting average.
With that said, this lineup's biggest weakness is avoiding the strikeout.
Entering this matchup, the Angels rank 20th in K% when facing left-handed pitching.
Looking at Sunday's projected starting lineup, seven of the nine hitters possess a K% north of 23% this season. That is a troubling statistic, and these strikeout woes are likely to continue against left-hander David Peterson.
In terms of production, 2023 will be a year to forget for Peterson. Through 21 apperances, the left-hander is 3-7 with a 5.59 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP.
Peterson's underlying metrics suggest that positive regression is unlikely as he ranks in the 22nd percentile or lower in average exit velocity, Hard-Hit%, xERA/xwOBA, xBA and xSLG.
However, the one thing he does well is strike out opposing batters.
Peterson ranks in the 55th percentile in K% and the 71st percentile in Whiff%. Even if he gets shelled, he has developed a knack for collecting strikeouts.
You can find his strikeout prop at 5.5 at DraftKings, and we're going to target the Over.
Angels vs. Mets
Betting Pick & Prediction
Peterson has yet to start a game against the Angels in his career, but he did appear in relief against them last summer.
In that game, he collected three strikeouts in under three innings pitched.
Looking at it from the other side, the Los Angeles' lineup possesses a 22.7 K% and 24.4 Whiff% through 22 career plate appearances against the left-hander.
Kodai Senga racked up 10 strikeouts against the Angels in the opening game of this series, and while Peterson likely won't match that figure, he should be able to get to six.