The Atlanta Braves host the Arizona Diamondbacks on June 3, 2025. First pitch from Truist Park is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on ARID.
The 28-31 Diamondbacks and the 27-31 Braves both currently sit in fourth place in their respective divisions.
Tuesday's starting pitching matchup features a pair of high-profile starters that have also not been at their best this season, as Zac Gallen (5.54 ERA, 66 2/3 IP) will face off against Spencer Strider (4.50 ERA, 14 IP).
Read our Diamondbacks vs Braves prediction and MLB pick below.
My Diamondbacks vs Braves Prediction
- Diamondbacks vs Braves Picks: Braves F5 -0.5 (-115, BetMGM | Play to -130)
My Diamondbacks vs Braves best bet is on Atlanta's first-half run line. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Diamondbacks vs Braves Odds
| Diamondbacks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -175 | 9 -105 / -115 | +125 |
| Braves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +145 | 9 -105 / -115 | -150 |
Diamondbacks vs Braves Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Zac Gallen (ARI) | Stat | RHP Spencer Strider (ATL) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-7 | W-L | 0-3 |
| 0.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.0 |
| 5.54 / 4.13 | ERA / xERA | 4.50 / 4.91 |
| 4.58 / 4.31 | FIP / xFIP | 4.93 / 4.82 |
| 1.40 | WHIP | 1.29 |
| 11.6% | K-BB% | 15% |
| 39.8% | GB% | 34.3% |
| 90 | Stuff+ | 98 |
| 103 | Location+ | 87 |
Nick Martin’s Diamondbacks vs Braves Preview
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Diamondbacks' starting rotation was expected to be significantly improved.
Unfortunately, due to a combination of injuries and worse-than-expected performances from Gallen, Brandon Pfaadt, and Eduardo Rodriguez, it has remained a notable weakness.
Arizona's starters have posted a 4.51 ERA this year, and things are looking pretty bleak with Burnes now set to miss time.
Gallen's name has recently surfaced in trade talks, as the 29-year-old is set to become a free agent and is a logical piece to sell if the Diamondbacks cannot turn things around in short order.
Gallen may not be an overly valuable trade chip if he can not elevate his level of play soon, though, as he has posted an 8.02 ERA over his last four starts with a 5.9% strikeout minus walk rate and a 90 Stuff+ mark.
Gallen has remained highly reliant on his four-seamer, despite batters slugging .450 against it.
He has been much more effective on the road than he has been at batter-friendly Chase Field, as he holds a 4.09 ERA and a 3.44 xFIP in road games.
The Diamondbacks' high-powered lineup enters this matchup at full strength, with no regulars on the injured list, and will provide a difficult matchup for Strider. Arizona currently holds the third-best wRC+ among MLB lineups versus right-handed pitching and ranks third in wRC+ against RHP dating back to the start of last season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
After undergoing a procedure that repaired his right ulnar collateral ligament with the insertion of a brace 13 months ago, Strider's velocity is not yet back where it was before the injury — it may potentially never be quite as lively.
His four-seamer averaged 95.1 MPH in his most recent outing against the Phillies, which is a step in the right direction, as he allowed only one earned run and racked up seven strikeouts across 4 1/3 innings.
Strider has posted a 98 Stuff+ mark this year, which is a considerable dropoff compared to his career. Strider's stuff may become a little more lively as he builds his arm back up after a significant surgery, and it will be interesting to see how the formerly elite starter looks in the next handful of outings, as he has not yet looked to be the same pitcher.
The Braves have trended into much better form offensively, as they've posted a 110 wRC+ over the past 15 games. They've posted a 119 wRC+ and .778 OPS against righties during the span.
Ronald Acuña Jr.'s dominant return to action has been a notable contributor to their improved offensive splits, as he has slugged .647 since returning to the lineup.
Diamondbacks vs Braves Prediction, Betting Analysis
Gallen is in the midst of one of the worst stretches of his career, as opposing batters have hit .310 with a 56% hard-hit rate over the past four starts.
His pitches are not grading out overly well, and he continues to be highly reliant on a below-average fastball that batters continue to hit effectively.
The Braves' lineup has been in excellent form recently, boasting several proven bats that suggest their current form is closer to what they truly are, rather than what we saw early in the campaign.
Strider has had a disappointing return to action thus far. Still, it seems reasonable to believe that he will be able to offer a higher level of play moving forward as he settles back in from injury, and his last start versus the Phillies was a step in the right direction.
I see value backing the Braves to cover -0.5 in the first five innings, trying to target some combination of either another blowup from Gallen or another improved showing from Strider.
Pick: Braves F5 -0.5 (-115, BetMGM | Play to -130)
Moneyline
Backing the Braves to win the game at -150 looks to provide some value, but for -115, I see more value in backing Atlanta to win the first five innings, given Gallen's recent struggles.
Run Line (Spread)
Betting the Braves to cover the run-line at +140 could be another good way to bet on this matchup, and try to buy into the boom-or-bust potential of Strider right now.
Over/Under
At the current total of 9, my lean would still be with the over, but after moving from 8.5 this morning, there no longer appears to be enough value to make a bet.
