The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Arizona Diamondbacks on July 10, 2026. First pitch from UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SportsNet LA.
The Dodgers are favored by -255 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Diamondbacks are +210 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Diamondbacks vs Dodgers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction
- Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Pick: Under 8.5
My Diamondbacks vs Dodgers best bet is on the under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Odds
| Diamondbacks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -105 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | +210 |
| Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -114 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | -255 |
- Diamondbacks vs Dodgers moneyline: Diamondbacks +210, Dodgers -255
- Diamondbacks vs Dodgers over/under: 8.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Diamondbacks vs Dodgers spread: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-105), Dodgers -1.5 (-114)
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Polymarket MLB Odds
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Probable Pitchers
| Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP, AZ) | Stat | Shohei Ohtani (RHP, LAD) |
|---|---|---|
| 7-3 | W-L | 8-2 |
| 1.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 3.0 |
| 2.25 / 5.00 | ERA / xERA | 1.79 / 2.70 |
| 4.00 / 4.50 | FIP / xFIP | 2.62 / 3.26 |
| 8.2% | K-BB% | 20.3% |
| 40.6% | GB% | 51.2% |
| .244 | BABIP | .244 |
| 91 | Stuff+ | 114 |
| 109 | Location+ | 98 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers MLB Betting Preview
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
We've been betting on Eduardo Rodriguez a lot around here, and it's been a great ride. I couldn't imagine any other life. I couldn't fathom automatically fading a guy every time you see his blue circles. I love Rodriguez and his blue circles. All this man does is throw strikes and get outs — it doesn't matter how.
Rodriguez has pitched primarily to fly balls, coming in four points higher than the league average, but at 41.5% his ground-ball rate isn't terribly low. Still, he's leaned on the second-best defense in baseball throughout the course of the season, and his home park has certainly helped him as he's pitched to a 1.89 ERA in Arizona.
He's been road-proof, for the most part, with a 2.83 ERA in those games, but a 1.50 WHIP in comparison to a 0.95 WHIP shows you that there are certainly some advantages to him pitching at home. Baserunners are also not exactly going to be ideal for Rodriguez going forward, considering his insane 86.5% strand rate, and even though he's stranded more at home he's still working with a near-84% strand rate on the road.
That is certainly a testament to his mental fortitude, but with a career mark of 74.3%, he's bound to see a little regression.
Interestingly enough, he's got a 68.5% strand rate against lefties this season which is just about where his career mark is, and the Dodgers have a bunch of non-negotiable lefties in the lineup with some low-quality bench options. That could keep the good times rolling.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Dodgers have lost just three times since June 26, and despite some weaknesses against left-handed pitchers this season they've started to beat up on them, too. They're not exactly white hot at the dish, but they're a solid fifth in wRC+ over the last two weeks and have done it without much power at all.
L.A. is hitting a handsome .277 over that span, but with a 10.6% walk rate they're getting on base at a 35.6% clip. The .157 Isolated Power is a bit worrying, too, but their pitching has been more than good enough to make up for it.
Included among those arms, to some extent, is Shohei Ohtani. He hasn't been at his best lately, yielding 12 runs across his last four starts, but he's still a pretty good pitcher when he's out there.
The Dodgers tried giving him a week's rest for his last start, when he turned in nine strikeouts, and they'll try it again here. He did give up seven hits and a homer, accompanied by two walks, so it's hard to say this really turned things around.
Ohtani did post a .203 Expected Batting Average and .326 Expected Slugging, so perhaps he was a victim of poor luck on that occasion. He found fewer whiffs, however, instead pounding the zone, and he's continued to look hellbent on pitching towards ground balls, much like some of his rotation mates.
As a ground-baller, he's going to likely sacrifice some strikeouts and allow more hits, but he's lowered his xSLG from .322 to .288 with a friendly 14.6% Pull Air.
We'll see how this turns out for him, but the good news is that the Diamondbacks have very little power and love to put the ball on the ground. It should be a comfortable matchup.
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Pick, Betting Analysis
The Diamondbacks are bottom five offensively over the last two weeks, and even though they do hit ground-ballers far better, they're still ranked 19th in that split with a .677 OPS. Ohtani's been weaker of late, it's true, but he hasn't been bad enough to give Arizona a good shot at smoking him here.
They hardly ever walk, meaning those slight cracks in the walks column should be sealed up, and while they don't strike out they're hitting just .225 in the last 14 days.
Rodriguez is the more interesting case here, considering we've labeled him as a bit of a regression candidate. Of course, strand rate isn't among his blue circles, and those circles don't really scare me off him here. In order for his strand rate to regress, he'll need runners on base, and his defense has done a good job of preventing them.
Dodger Stadium doesn't grade out as a great park for extra-base hits, just homers, and we've also seen a noticeable dip in L.A's power numbers.
Because of that, I do think this game should hit the Under, there's no shame in backing Rodriguez here. I hope I don't eat my words.
Pick: Under 8.5 (-107)
