The Baltimore Orioles host the Athletics on May 9, 2026. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MASN.
The Orioles are favored by -130 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Athletics are +110 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Athletics vs Orioles prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Athletics vs Orioles Prediction
- Athletics vs Orioles Pick: Over 9
My Athletics vs Orioles best bet is on the Over. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Athletics vs Orioles Odds
| Athletics Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -184 | 9 -122o / -100u | +110 |
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +152 | 9 -122o / -100u | -130 |
- Athletics vs Orioles moneyline: Athletics +110, Orioles -130
- Athletics vs Orioles over/under: 9 (-122o / -100u)
- Athletics vs Orioles spread: Orioles -1.5 (+152), Athletics +1.5 (-184)
Athletics vs Orioles Probable Pitchers
| Aaron Civale (RHP, ATH) | Stat | Shane Baz (RHP, BAL) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | W-L | 1-3 |
| 0.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.5 |
| 2.95 / 4.22 | ERA / xERA | 4.99 / 4.68 |
| 3.98 / 4.70 | FIP / xFIP | 4.15 / 4.52 |
| 10.8% | K-BB% | 9.7% |
| 29.4% | GB% | 36.0% |
| .302 | BABIP | .339 |
| 97 | Stuff+ | 99 |
| 111 | Location+ | 98 |
Athletics vs Orioles MLB Betting Preview
This game activated one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams.
This system targets overs in games that begin in the late afternoon to early evening, or what bettors often refer to as "twilight spots."
These games occur within a temperature and lighting window that subtly improves scoring conditions, particularly when both teams have a documented tendency to hit overs.
Combined with home starters who may have below-average WHIPs, this setup identifies an edge before the public fully reacts.
By isolating recent-season trends and capitalizing on the transitional scoring environment, the model identifies a high-expectation scoring spot that may be underpriced due to time-of-day bias or modest pitching projections.
Athletics vs Orioles Pick, Betting Analysis
One important thing to note about this matchup is that both Aaron Civale and Shane Baz are sporting career-low ground-ball rates. Both are giving up more elevated balls than ever, but neither has seen a drastic increase in their home run rates allowed, which I expect to change soon enough.
Considering that the Athletics have a super dangerous lineup, and that Baltimore's bats are finally waking up, everything is pointing toward a higher-scoring ballgame.
Pick: Over 9
