The Pittsburgh Pirates host the Boston Red Sox on August 15, 2026. First pitch from PNC Park is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on FOX.
The Red Sox are favored by -120 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Pirates are +110 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Red Sox vs Pirates prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Red Sox vs Pirates Prediction
- Red Sox vs Pirates Pick: Jared Jones Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-136, FanDuel)
My Red Sox vs Pirates best bet is Jared Jones to go over his strikeout prop. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Red Sox vs Pirates Odds
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +134 | 7.5 -118o / -104u | -120 |
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -162 | 7.5 -118o / -104u | +110 |
- Red Sox vs Pirates moneyline: Red Sox -120, Pirates +110
- Red Sox vs Pirates over/under: 7.5 (-118o / -104u)
- Red Sox vs Pirates spread: -1.5 (+134), +1.5 (-162)
Red Sox vs Pirates Probable Pitchers
| Sonny Gray (RHP) | Stat | Jared Jones (RHP) |
|---|---|---|
| 14-3 | W-L | 2-4 |
| 2.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.9 |
| 2.79/3.61 | ERA / xERA | 5.03/3.61 |
| 3.58/3.67 | FIP / xFIP | 4.15/3.82 |
| 15.1 | K-BB% | 18.5 |
| 47.1 | GB% | 37.3 |
| .284 | BABIP | .275 |
| 101 | Stuff+ | 101 |
| 97 | Location+ | 106 |
Red Sox vs Pirates MLB Betting Preview
Pittsburgh Pirates right-hander Jared Jones has come off the injured list in arguably the best form we've ever seen him. Jones' young career has been riddled with injury, unfortunately, but when he's been on the mound, the stuff is electric.
In 64 innings pitched, Jones has a 3.41 xFIP with an elite 29.7 CSW and a minuscule xBAA of .216. His Stuff+ of 101 and Location+ of 106 show just how lethal he can be on the mound.
However, his strikeout lines have consistently been in the 4.5 to 5.5 range, as his inability to get ahead in the count has limited the clear strikeout upside he possesses.
Tonight, the upside is going to be there against the Boston Red Sox. While their recent hot streak garnered a lot of attention, they are still a below-average lineup against righties in terms of wRC+.
That's not all; they also hold one of the highest chase rates against righties, along with below-average contact and swing strike rates.
The avenue for Jones to rack up strikeouts tonight is there. The key for him is to get ahead with strike one. which he's only done 58 percent of the time. If he gets ahead of a Boston hitter, he'll likely finish them off.
Pick: Jared Jones Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-136, FanDuel)
