Braves vs. Dodgers Weather Forecast: How Wind Could Impact Betting Game 1
Tom Pennington/Getty Images.
- Roof status for Game 1 of the National League Championship Series is still uncertain, which could be extremely important given the current forecast in Arlington.
- Danny Donahue examines Mother Nature's role heading into tonight's game and how the wind could affect the Braves-Dodgers showdown.
Braves vs. Dodgers Game 1 Odds
|Braves Odds||+120 [Bet Now]|
|Dodgers Odds||-140 [Bet Now]|
|Over/Under||8 (-115/-105) [Bet Now]|
|First Pitch||8:08 p.m. ET|
If you asked the Braves and Dodgers hitters, I’m sure they’d tell you going up against Walker Buehler and Max Fried will be enough challenge in itself tonight. There’s certainly no reason to add another layer of difficulty to scoring in Game 1.
But Mother Nature isn’t asking.
And while it’s not as though winds will be howling at Globe Life Field, the forecasted winds — assuming the roof is open, as it’s been for all three playoff games so far — are enough for profitable betting trend, historically speaking.
Braves vs. Dodgers Game 1 Weather Report
While it will die down as the game unfolds, the wind will be blowing straight in from center at an average of 5 mph.
That may not seem like much, but it does sneak past the threshold that’s returned a 55% win rate to the under over the past 15 years.
In fact, MLB games played in winds of at least 5 mph coming straight in from center have gone 938-766-88 since 2005.
It should also be noted that, assuming these wind projections hold and the roof remains open, tonight would be the first time a game at Globe Life Field fit this betting system. In other words, we’ve yet to generate a sample of stadium-specific data to test against the league-wide numbers.
But in any case, if you’re looking to play this Game 1 total, don’t necessarily bet blindly on two strong offenses to eclipse eight runs with ease. Be sure, instead, to keep an eye out for roof and weather updates as first pitch approaches.