Colorado Rockies 2020 Betting Preview: Best Futures Odds & Season Projections

Colorado Rockies Best 2020 Futures Odds

The Rockies are certainly not among the World Series frontrunners for the shortened season. Their +16000 odds are tied for 23rd out of the 30 MLB teams, and their National League odds come in 12th, ahead of only the Pirates, Giants and Marlins (they also have the 12th-highest win total in the league).

Sharing the NL West with the Dodgers keeps the Rockies’ divisional odds down at +3000, while their +920 odds to claim a playoff spot imply about a 9.8% chance.

Colorado Rockies 2020 Projections

• Projected record: 26-34
• To win World Series: 0.5% (fair odds: +20000)
• To win NL West: 3.5% (fair odds: +2757)

Colorado Rockies 2020 Betting Analysis

Taken from Sean Zerillo’s 2020 Win Totals, World Series & Division Odds Projections:

No team took a bigger hit in my 60-game projections than the Dodgers, whose divisional chances dropped by nearly 40%, and World Series odds were almost cut in half, from 20% to 10.5%.

Consequently, the Diamondbacks (+22.1%), Padres (+16.6%), Rockies (+3.5%), and Giants (+2%) divisional odds all increased, and their combined World Series odds probability improved by 3.6%.

ZIPS dinged the Dodgers 8.2% in championship odds and it agrees that the Diamondbacks (+17.6% playoff probability) Rockies (+12.1%), and Giants (+8.9%) all see an increased postseason opportunity this year.

2020 Colorado Rockies Player Futures Odds

To win NL MVP

• Nolan Arenado: +1800 (DraftKings)
• Trevor Story: +4000 (DraftKings, FanDuel & PointsBet)
• Charlie Blackmon: +10000 (DraftKings)

To win NL Cy Young

• German Marquez: +6600 (DraftKings)
• Jon Gray: +6600 (DraftKings)

2020 Colorado Rockies Player Futures Analysis

From Our Staff’s Favorite 2020 MLB Futures:

Trevor Story Home Run Leader

If you have not already listened to The Action Network MLB Podcast, you’ll find plenty of gambling takeaways in there, from Reds and White Sox futures to reliever winnings the Cy Young to Oakland and Toronto winning their respective divisions. One prop we did not touch base on, however, was the home run leader. And with the season running from the end of July through September, it would be cretinous to simply consider season long trends.

Per 2019 Action Network Park Factors, Coors Field is by far the most friendly to hitters through the August and September months. Any person familiar with betting baseball knows Rockies home games are a bandbox in the Summer, but consider the road schedule as well. Chase Field is sixth during August and second in September in Park Factors, and the Diamondbacks account for 23% of the Rockies road schedule.

As far as taking Story over Arenado, it is all about price point. ZiPS projects Story at 13 home runs, just one shy of Arenado and three shy of projected leaders Pete Alonso and Giancarlo Stanton. A 50-1 future on a Rockies hitter that is projected to finish just a couple of bombs away from the lead is certainly worth an investment. — Collin Wilson

Recommended 2020 Colorado Rockies Future Bets

• Trevor Story Most Home Runs: recommended at +5000 (+3600 at FanDuel)