Sunday MLB Odds, Picks, Predictions for Giants vs. Reds: Betting Value on Over/Under in Showdown
Dylan Buell/Getty Images. Pictured: Joc Pederson.
- The Giants and Reds have had some high-scoring contests this season.
- Are we due for another offensive explosion on Sunday or will Alex Cobb and Tyler Mahle limit the runs?
- Tony Sartori shares his best bet below.
Giants vs. Reds Odds
|Over/Under||9 (-105 / -115)|
|Time||11:35 a.m. ET|
|Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.|
We have the third and final matchup of this three-game series as the Cincinnati Reds host the San Francisco Giants. The over has been a hot bet for each team this season, although the first game of this series went under the total.
Will we see another low-scoring affair between these two teams, or can the hitting pick up this time around?
Will High-Scoring Trend Continue for Giants?
As mentioned, the Giants have been involved in many high-scoring games this season, as they’re 25-18-1 (58%) to the over prior to Saturday. I expect this trend to continue with right-hander Alex Cobb slated to take the mound for the Giants.
Through seven starts this season, Cobb is 3-2 with a 6.25 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. The over has hit in six of those seven games (86%).
Following Cobb is San Francisco’s fade-worthy bullpen. This season, San Francisco’s relief pitching ranks 26th in the league in ERA, 29th in BA, 29th in SLG, 25th in wOBA and 25th in WHIP.
This pitching staff should get plenty of run support, as the Giants are slated to go against right-hander Tyler Mahle. When facing right-handed pitchers this season, the Giants rank seventh in the league in BA, 13th in SLG, ninth in OPS and seventh in wOBA.
Over 47 career plate appearances against Mahle, this current Giants roster boasts a .293 BA, .512 SLG and .380 wOBA.
Reds Should Support Mahle With Runs
Like San Francisco, Cincinnati has seen many high-scoring games, going 26-18-1 (59%) to the over prior to Saturday.
Through 10 starts this season, Mahle is 2-5 with a 6.32 ERA and 1.49 WHIP. The over has hit in eight of those 10 games (80%).
Following Mahle is another fade-worthy bullpen, as Cincy’s relief pitching ranks 28th in the league in ERA, 18th in BA, 21st in SLG, 27th in wOBA and 23rd in WHIP.
This pitching staff could get plenty of run support against Cobb. Through 24 career plate appearances against the San Francisco starter, this current Reds lineup possesses a .250 BA, .458 SLG and .304 wOBA.
I’m backing the trends that suggest we should plenty of runs between these two teams. In this specific matchup, we have two starting pitchers who have been fade-worthy all season facing off.
Add in the fact that both bullpens have struggled this season and both lineups have had success against these starting pitchers, and this game has the recipe for an offensive explosion.
If the total moves to 9.5 before first pitch, I would still take that number if the juice is light.
Pick: Over 9 (-105 | Play to -120)
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