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MLB Home Run Picks Today: Player Props for Twins vs Yankees, Blue Jays vs Mariners, More for Saturday, July 4

MLB Home Run Picks Today: Player Props for Twins vs Yankees, Blue Jays vs Mariners, More for Saturday, July 4 article feature image
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Brad Penner-Imagn Images. Pictured: Yankees DH Trent Grisham

We have a full, 15-game slate to celebrate this holiday, starting early with Twins vs. Yankees at 1:35 p.m. ET and finishing with Padres vs. Dodgers at 10:10 p.m. ET.

As always, I've got some bangers for you, selecting players from five of those matchups.

Read on for my 5 MLB Home Run Picks Today.


MLB Home Run Picks Today

In the table below, you'll find each of Grant Neiffer's top Home Run prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.

GameTime (ET)Pick
Minnesota Twins LogoNew York Yankees Logo
1:35 PM
Toronto Blue Jays LogoSeattle Mariners Logo
4:10 PM
Tampa Bay Rays LogoHouston Astros Logo
7:10 PM
New York Mets LogoAtlanta Braves Logo
8:08 PM
San Francisco Giants LogoColorado Rockies Logo
8:10 PM
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Twins vs Yankees Prediction, Pick

Minnesota Twins Logo
Saturday, Jul 4
1:35 PM ET
YES
New York Yankees Logo
Trent Grisham Home Run
FanDuel Logo

Twins starter Zebby Matthews is a gas can for power, and the ballpark is one of the best in the league for lefty power hitters, such as Trent Grisham.

The weather is incredible for hitting, with temperatures in the high 90s and wind blowing out at 10 MPH. I have the true odds on the Yankees DH at around +220.

Pick: Trent Grisham Home Run



Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction, Pick

Toronto Blue Jays Logo
Saturday, Jul 4
4:10 PM ET
MLB.TV
Seattle Mariners Logo
Kazuma Okamoto Home Run
FanDuel Logo

Kazuma Okamoto gets an above-average matchup for righty power with Logan Gilbert and Emerson Hancock piggybacking today on the Mariners' mound.

Both are plus matchups for righty power, and although the ballpark is a downgrade, I have the true odds on the Blue Jays 3B at around +350.

Pick: Kazuma Okamoto Home Run



Rays vs Astros Prediction, Pick

Tampa Bay Rays Logo
Saturday, Jul 4
7:10 PM ET
MLB.TV
Houston Astros Logo
Yordan Alvarez Home Run
FanDuel Logo

The spot here is an average one, which is more than enough to justify betting Yordan Alvarez at these odds.

He is one of the best home run hitters in the league and has been incredible this season.

I have the true odds on the Astros DH at around +250.

Pick: Yordan Alvarez Home Run



Mets vs Braves Prediction, Pick

New York Mets Logo
Saturday, Jul 4
8:08 PM ET
FOX
Atlanta Braves Logo
Matt Olson Home Run
FanDuel Logo

This is strictly a price play. Mets SP Sean Manaea is a below-average matchup for lefty power, but the weather is a big plus for power, with temperatures in the low 90s.

Matt Olson is one of the best homer hitters in the league, and I have the true odds for the Braves 1B at around +350.

Pick: Matt Olson Home Run



Giants vs Rockies Prediction, Pick

San Francisco Giants Logo
Saturday, Jul 4
8:10 PM ET
MLB.TV
Colorado Rockies Logo
Hunter Goodman Home Run
FanDuel Logo

Giants starter Robbie Ray is a gas can for power at this point in his career, giving up an above-average number of HRs to righties despite playing in the most pitcher-friendly ballpark in the league.

The weather is good over in Coors Field, and the ballpark is one of the best in the league for home runs.

Hunter Goodman is one of the best power hitters in the league, and I have the true odds for the Rockies catcher at around +200.

Pick: Hunter Goodman Home Run



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About the Author
Grant NeifferVerified Action Expert

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