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Astros vs Athletics Prediction, Pick, Odds for Thursday, September 25

Astros vs Athletics Prediction, Pick, Odds for Thursday, September 25 article feature image
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Photo by Dale Zanine-Imagn Images. Pictured: Framber Valdez

The Athletics host the Houston Astros on September 25, 2025. First pitch from Sutter Health Park is scheduled for 3:35 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on SCHN.

After losing the first two games of the series, the Astros must avoid a sweep that could push them further away from playoff contention.

Find my MLB betting preview and Astros vs Athletics prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.

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My Astros vs Athletics Prediction

  • Astros vs Athletics pick: Under 9.5 (-115)

My Astros vs Athletics best bet is Under 9.5 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Astros vs Athletics Odds

Astros Logo
Thursday, Sep 25
3:35 p.m. ET
SCHN
Athletics Logo
Astros Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+135
9.5
-105o / -115u
-115
Athletics Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-160
9.5
-105o / -115u
-105
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
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Astros vs Athletics Projected Starting Pitchers

LHP Framber Valdez (HOU)StatRHP J.T. Ginn (ATH)
12-11W-L4-6
3.8fWAR (FanGraphs)0.7
3.75 / 3.80ERA / xERA4.57 / 3.71
3.39 / 3.41FIP / xFIP4.64 / 3.40
1.24WHIP1.32
14.4K-BB%18.1
58.3GB%53.5
108Stuff+97
99Location+108

Astros vs Athletics Preview

The first two games of this series have already hit the under despite the favorable hitting conditions at Sutter Health Park.

The Astros have entered a serious slump at the worst possible moment, losing the division title and putting their playoff spot at risk. They have scored just 13 runs in their past six games, averaging 2.16.

The Athletics haven't produced a ton lately. After the Pirates shut them out twice in a row, the A's scored five and six runs in the first two games of this series, which means an average of 2.75 runs in their last four contests.

The A's lineup does a bit worse when facing left-handed pitchers, which could help Astros starter Framber Valdez with his recent struggles.

J.T. Ginn will get the ball for the home team, and he's had success against Houston in 2025. In his last matchup, the right-hander held them scoreless through six innings, giving up only three hits. Plus, Ginn has a 3.55 ERA in day games this season.

Our Bet Labs recommendation is to stay with the under for this series finale.

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Evan Abrams / Bet Labs – Unders with Soft Starters and Neutral Winds
the home team's game number is between 37 and 169
the home team's win percentage is between 36% and 65%
the series game # is between 3 and 4
the home pitcher's strikeout rate is between 0.2 and 0.53
the home team's starting pitcher's WHIP is between 1.15 and 2.05
the average wind speed is between 0 and 15 mph
the wind direction is From Right or Left to Right or Right To Left or In or From Left or None or Left To Right
betting on the Under
$11,119
WON
511-366-40
RECORD
58%
WIN%

This system targets unders in regular-season MLB games where softer home starting pitchers — low strikeout rates and moderate WHIP — are on the mound in games three or four of a series.

By this point in the series, hitters have seen multiple arms, and scouting reports are sharper, yet scoring remains muted when the matchup lacks overpowering velocity and winds remain neutral.

The setup avoids exaggerated run environments by filtering out strong directional wind influence, keeping offensive surges in check.

With the home team in the middle of the season grind, winning at a modest clip, the market may overlook how often these quiet conditions lead to slower-paced, low-scoring outcomes.

Pick: Under 9.5 (-115, bet365)


Astros vs Athletics Betting Trends


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