The Atlanta Braves host the New York Mets on July 3, 2026. First pitch from Truist Park is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on BravesVsn.
The Mets are -105 on the moneyline and -1.5 on the run line. The Braves are -115 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mets vs Braves prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mets vs Braves Prediction
- Mets vs Braves Pick: Mets Moneyline (-105)
My Mets vs Braves best bet is on New York to win outright. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs Braves Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +156 | 9 -119o / -101u | -105 |
| Braves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -190 | 9 -119o / -101u | -115 |
- Mets vs Braves moneyline: Mets -105, Braves -115
- Mets vs Braves over/under: 9 (-119o / -101u)
- Mets vs Braves spread: Mets -1.5 (+156), Braves +1.5 (-190)
Mets vs Braves Probable Pitchers
| RHP Christian Scott (NYM) | Stat | RHP Grant Holmes (ATL) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | W-L | 4-4 |
| 0.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.0 |
| 3.20/4.62 | ERA / xERA | 3.96/4.73 |
| 3.93/4.10 | FIP / xFIP | 5.19/4.56 |
| 16.3% | K-BB% | 9.6 |
| 27.4% | GB% | 41.7% |
| .304 | BABIP | .255 |
| 107 | Stuff+ | 89 |
| 96 | Location+ | 99 |
Mets vs Braves MLB Betting Preview
Sean Zerillo's projections show solid value on the Mets moneyline tonight.
If you want to dive deeper into this matchup, it'd be wise to check out BARTOLO, Zerillo's new PRO baseball tool that gives you access to all the input data he uses to project games every day.
Mets vs Braves Pick, Betting Analysis
The Mets come into this NL East rivalry handing the ball to right-handed rookie Christian Scott, who has been highly dependable across his outings this season, sporting a perfect 2-0 record alongside a strong 3.20 ERA and 53 strikeouts.
Atlanta counters at Truist Park with Grant Holmes, who carries a 4-4 record and a 3.96 ERA over 69 strikeouts. While the Braves hold the superior overall record this season, the starting pitching matchup gives a distinct technical edge to the visitors.
According to the BARTOLO model's underlying numbers, the market hasn't fully adjusted to Scott's reliability relative to Holmes.
Getting the Mets at a near-pick'em price of -105—especially with sportsbooks forcing them to lay the -1.5 run line—signals that sharp money is already moving the market in their direction. It makes for an excellent value play on the board today. Back New York to take care of business on the moneyline.
Pick: Mets Moneyline (-105)
