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Joc Pederson Home Run Odds: Will Giants Slugger Park Another HR vs. Reds? (May 27)

Joc Pederson Home Run Odds: Will Giants Slugger Park Another HR vs. Reds? (May 27) article feature image
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(Photo by Michael Urakami/Getty Images)

Joc Pederson is one of the hottest hitters on the planet.

The San Francisco Giants slugger mauled the Mets this past week, headlined by a three home runs Tuesday and another round-tripper the following afternoon to boost his season total to 11.

Will Pederson park another dinger in the Giants’ early-Friday tilt versus the Reds to make it three straight games? He owns the shortest odds among all Giants and Reds batters at FanDuel at +320, implying a 23.81% probability.

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Pederson has homered at Great American Ball Park five times in his career, most recently in 2019.

The stadium has long been billed as a launching pad for hitters, and this year’s no different: GABP ranks No. 1 in MLB park factors in runs created (1.527) and fourth in home runs (1.505) above average.

Best Stadiums for Home Runs in 2022

Stadium HR
Coors Field (Rockies) 1.950
Wrigley Field (Cubs) 1.563
Miller Park (Brewers) 1.548
Great American Ball Park (Reds) 1.505
Busch Stadium (Cardinals) 1.450

Pederson, who finished runner-up in the 2015 Home Run Derby, is flat-out tearing the cover off the ball this season.

Although we’re still in the early stages of the campaign, the 30-year-old enters the weekend in the 98th percentile or better in average exit velocity, hard-hit percentage, xwOBA, xSLG and barrel percentage.

Pederson’s 11 dingers pace San Francisco’s roster; nobody else has more than four.

The Giants are consensus -225 road favorites against the Reds, with a total of 8.

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