The Chicago Cubs host the Minnesota Twins on July 17, 2026. First pitch from Wrigley Field is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MNNT.
The Cubs are favored by -142 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Twins are +120 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 10.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Twins vs Cubs prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Twins vs Cubs Prediction
- Twins vs Cubs Pick: Cubs Moneyline (-142)
My Twins vs Cubs best bet is on Chicago to win outright. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Twins vs Cubs Odds
| Twins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -178 | 10.5 -114o / -106u | +120 |
| Cubs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +146 | 10.5 -114o / -106u | -142 |
- Twins vs Cubs moneyline: Twins +120, Cubs -142
- Twins vs Cubs over/under: 10.5 (-114o / -106u)
- Twins vs Cubs spread: Cubs -1.5 (+146), Twins +1.5 (-178)
Twins vs Cubs Probable Pitchers
| RHP Bailey Ober (MIN) | Stat | RHP Colin Rea (CHC) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | W-L | 7-5 |
| 0.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.3 |
| 4.40/4.36 | ERA / xERA | 4.75/5.70 |
| 4.91/4.95 | FIP / xFIP | 4.91/4.83 |
| 10.7% | K-BB% | 8.2% |
| 33.3% | GB% | 44.0% |
| .247 | BABIP | .300 |
| 93 | Stuff+ | 94 |
| 91 | Location+ | 99 |
Twins vs Cubs MLB Betting Preview
Bailey Ober and Colin Rea face off in the battle of middling RHP at Wrigley Field. The wind is blowing out at 8 MPH on a hot day in Chicago.
This would typically be a good opportunity for bettors to take the over, but Rea is a much different pitcher at home than on the road.
- Rea at home: 2.72 ERA, 12.1% K-BB, 1.26 WHIP, 4.23 xFIP
- Rea on road: 6.45 ERA, 5.1% K-BB, 1.61 WHIP, 5.33 xFIP
He is still not a "good" pitcher, even at home, but the Cubs starter does well enough by limiting walks and inducing ground balls. Meanwhile, Ober is one of the league's most extreme flyball pitchers. His 33.3% FB this season is almost identical to his 32.3% career rate.
Ober returned from an extended stint on the Injured List due to elbow issues and pitched a gem against the Guardians on July 9. Unfortunately, his matchup against the Cubs will not be as soft.
Twins vs Cubs Pick, Betting Analysis
Chicago has a 105 wrC+ as a team this season against RHP and the second-best offense in the past 30 days (126 wRC+). The Twins are fourth in this span with a 123 wRC+, but they just lost superstar Byron Buxton again to an IL stint.
Twins' starting catcher Ryan Jeffers is healthy now, but this leaves the switch-hitting Victor Caratini on the bench. Rea is much worse against left-handed hitters than righties, and Caratini has been a significant offensive contributor since June (164 wRC+).
Furthermore, the Cubs' bullpen ranks as average, while the Twins have the second-worst by team xFIP and ERA.
Pick: Cubs Moneyline (-142)
