Happy Friday!
I've got some bangers.
Read on for my 4 MLB Home Run Picks Today.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 7:05 PM | |
  | 8:05 PM | |
  | 8:10 PM | |
  | 9:40 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Dodgers vs Yankees
This spot is great, and these odds are a bit too high.
Rice has been one of the best HR hitters in the league, and he gets a great matchup vs. Roki Sasaki.
Sasaki has been hammered by lefty power this season, allowing a 2.00 HR/9.
This ballpark is one of the best in the league for lefty power, and the weather should be a plus for hitting.
I have the true odds here under +300, making this a great bet.
Pick: Ben Rice Home Run
| | | |
Twins vs Cubs
These odds may be low, but the spot more than makes up for it.
Bailey Ober has been an absolute gas can for lefty power this season, allowing a massive 2.23 HR/9.
The weather should be good for hitting, with temps in the high 80s and a wind blowing out at 6 mph.
I have the true odds here around +200, making this a great bet.
Pick: Pete Crow-Armstrong Home Run
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Orioles vs Astros
The spot here is great, and the odds on Alonso are far too low.
The ballpark is a big upgrade in power, thanks to the short left-field porch.
Lambert is reverse splits when it comes to power, allowing a 1.72 HR/9 to righties in his career and a 1.83 HR/9 this season.
I have the true odds on Alonso around +250, making this a great EV bet.
Pick: Pete Alonso Home Run
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Cardinals vs Diamondbacks
These odds are drastically off.
Wetherholt has been a good hitter this season, with 13 bombs.
Merrill Kelly has been crushed by lefty power this season, allowing a massive 2.06 HR/9.
I have the true odds here around +500, making this a great bet.
Pick: JJ Wetherholt Home Run
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