The Cincinnati Reds host the Los Angeles Angels on April 10, 2026. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on Apple TV+.
The Reds are favored by -190 on the moneyline and priced at +108 to cover the run line at -1.5. The Angels are +160 on the moneyline and -130 to cover +1.5. The total is set at 9 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Angels vs Reds prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Angels vs Reds Prediction
- Angels vs Reds Pick: Reds F5 -0.5 (-140 | Play to -150)
My Angels vs Reds best bet is on Cincinnati to be on top after the first five innings. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Angels vs Reds Odds
| Angels Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -130 | 9 -104o / -118u | +160 |
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +108 | 9 -104o / -118u | -190 |
- Angels vs Reds spread: Angels +1.5 (-130), Reds -1.5 (+108)
- Angels vs Reds over/under: 9 (-104o/-118u)
- Angels vs Reds moneyline: Angels +160 / Reds -190
Angels vs Reds Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Jack Kochanowicz (LAA) | Stat | RHP Chase Burns (CIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | W-L | 1-0 |
| 0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.4 |
| 4.66 / 5.12 | ERA /xERA | 0.82 / 2.17 |
| 3.25 / 4.29 | FIP / xFIP | 2.51 / 2.36 |
| 1.55 | WHIP | 0.91 |
| 6.7 | K-BB% | 27.9 |
| 53.6 | GB% | 47.8 |
| 97 | Stuff+ | 114 |
| 102 | Location+ | 100 |
Angels vs Reds Preview
Los Angeles Angels
The Angels lineup did not project to be overly formidable entering the year and, to this point, has not necessarily proven any naysayers wrong.
They currently rank 29th in batting average and 25th in OPS. The underlying results aren't much better, as they hold the second-lowest expected slug rate in baseball, as well as the third-lowest expected weighted on-base average.
No team in baseball has struck out more often than Los Angeles this season, and it also ranks fourth last in hard-hit rate.
Mike Trout has hit just .190 out of the gates and slugged a .357. His underlying metrics remain strong, and the Angels will certainly need him to start offering greater production soon, as the lineup does not seem overly capable of mitigating average results from Trout for long.
Jorge Soler will be unavailable for this matchup after receiving a seven-game suspension for his role in Tuesday's bench-clearing brawl.
Jack Kochanowicz responded to an ugly season-opening start with a strong showing versus the struggling Mariners on Saturday, as he threw five and two-thirds scoreless innings while allowing only four hits and racking up seven strikeouts.
The type of performance Kochanowicz issued in his last outing should prove to be an outlier, though. Kochanowicz held a 5.89 xERA and 5.18 xFIP across 111 innings last season, and all major projection systems project him as a below-average starter this season.
While he may offer slightly improved form based on natural development in his third MLB season, overachievement would likely mean an ERA in the low fours.
He holds a Stuff+ rating of 97 through his first two starts and a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 6.7%.
Cincinnati Reds
Reds fans are rightfully very excited every time Chase Burns takes the mound right now, as the 2024 second overall pick has lived up to all of the hype thus far this season.
Burns offers an elite fastball-slider combo and has fanned 13.09 batters per nine this season, after striking out 13.92 batters per nine in 2025 across 43 and 1/3 innings.
He has stranded 100% of baserunners, which obviously will not continue, but he still holds a stellar 2.17 xERA and 2.36 xFIP.
Action PRO project his for 8.7 strikeouts against the Angels.
It's been an ugly start to the season offensively for the Reds, as they enter this matchup with a wRC+ of 74 and have slugged just .327.
The underlying results suggest they are due for some positive regression at the plate, though, as they rank 19th in xSLG and have suffered from the second-lowest BABIP in baseball.
They also rank 21st in BB/K ratio and 10th in hard-hit rate.
Angels vs Reds Picks
This sets up as an ideal spot for Burns to continue his fantastic start to the season, as he faces off against an Angels lineup that has struggled to make quality contact while striking out more often than any other team in baseball.
Burns offers a significant edge over Kochanowicz, who should prove to be a well-below-average starter this season.
Even if in many statistical categories the Reds have been worse offensively than the Angels, they hold drastically better underlying metrics than Los Angeles at the plate, and should prove to be the superior team in that regard.
While -140 seems to be a pretty modest number for the Reds to cover -0.5 in the first five innings, it seems possible the price may be more heavily juiced a few months from now based on the way Burns and Kochanowicz are likely to trend.
Pick: Reds F5 -0.5 (-140, FanDuel | Play to -150)
