The New York Yankees host the Los Angeles Angels on Thursday, June 19, 2025. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on MLB Network.
The Yankees will look to salvage what they can out of another nightmarish series. They'll hand Carlos Rodon the ball in the series finale on Thursday — he'll be opposed by fellow southpaw, Tyler Anderson. New York enters as -262 favorites with the total set at 9.
Find my Angels vs Yankees prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends and more.
- Angels vs Yankees picks: Yankees -1.5 (play to -140)
My Angels vs Yankees best bet is the Yankees to cover the spread. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Angels vs Yankees Odds
Angels Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -101 | 9 -107 / -115 | +209 |
Yankees Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -121 | 9 -107 / -115 | -262 |
Angels vs Yankees Projected Starting Pitchers
LHP Tyler Anderson (LAA) | Stat | LHP Carlos Rodon (NYY) |
---|---|---|
2-4 | W-L | 8-5 |
0.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.0 |
4.44/4.36 | ERA /xERA | 3.01/2.79 |
4.97/5.02 | FIP / xFIP | 3.27/3.27 |
1,37 | WHIP | 0.99 |
2.1 | K-BB% | 3.3 |
29.8% | GB% | 42% |
96 | Stuff+ | 104 |
97 | Location+ | 97 |
Sean Paul’s Angels vs Yankees Preview
Regression finally caught up to Tyler Anderson, who has a 9.00 ERA through three starts in June.
From March to May, Anderson had a 3.39 ERA. After those three outings, Anderson now has a 4.44 ERA with 4.36 xERA and 4.97 FIP. Now it seems like Anderson is performing right where he should be.
Anderson dueled the Yankees one time this year, limiting them to one run over six innings. I'm less convinced Anderson will look as good at Yankee Stadium, given that he allows 1.56 HR/9. The hitter-friendly dimensions in the Bronx should yield good results against a soft-tossing fly-baller.
Los Angeles also has one of the worst bullpens in MLB. It has the third-worst bullpen ERA in baseball and the worst FIP. If Anderson can't get deep into the game, it'll expose the Angels' bullpen.
The Angels have the second-lowest amount of plate appearances versus lefties, but they rank 28th with a 68 wRC+. They also have a 3.5% walk rate and 28.8% strikeout rate against lefties — both of which are the worst in MLB.
Carlos Rodon has reinvented himself during his third season in the Bronx. His last two outings versus the Red Sox were a bit bumpy, though.
He surrendered eight earned runs in 10 innings over his last two starts, but I attribute the struggles to command. He walked five batters in the two starts but walked just two total in his prior three.
I’m still buying stock in Rodon. His ERA sits at 3.01 with a 2.79 xERA and 3.27 FIP. Two poor starts don’t erase the previous 13 solid ones that likely earned him a spot on the American League All-Star team.
The Yankees rank 21st in MLB with a 91 wRC+ this month. That's about as bad a stretch as you'll see from an offense that's among the most consistent in the sport. They even had a 30-inning scoreless streak, spanning over four games, that Jazz Chisholm's solo homer put an end to on Wednesday.
New York is still hitting the ball very, very hard. It just hasn't had the BABIP luck on its side.
In Monday's 1-0 loss to the Angels, the Yankees had three warning track fly outs hit at over 100 mph. On Tuesday, seemingly nothing went the Bronx Bombers' way, but a pair of homers from Chisholm and Cody Bellinger could be massive steps to fixing the offensive issues.
For the first time in 2025, Aaron Judge is on a skid. The sure-fire back-to-back MVP winner is 2-for-24 in his last seven games, of which the Yankees lost six of.
The worrisome part is Judge punched out in 15 of those 23 ABs — and that raised his strikeout rate to 25.3% after posting a career low rate through 65 games.
If we know anything about Judge, this slump is temporary and he'll turn things around shortly.
Angels vs Yankees Prediction, Betting Analysis
There could be a compelling argument that New York is overvalued. Maybe it isn't the top team in the American League, but this matchup is perfect for New York.
The Angels can't hit lefties — at all, and had trouble versus Ryan Yarbrough besides a pair of solo home runs. Rodon has the swing-and-miss arsenal to keep Los Angeles off balance.
Plus, Anderson does the two things a pitcher has to avoid in the Bronx. He allows homers at an alarming rate and walks over four batters per nine, and the Yankees will gladly take their free passes, even if the lineup can't hit.
I see a multi-run victory coming for the Yankees in the series finale.
Take the favorites to cruise to a win.
Pick: Yankees -1.5 (play to -140)
Moneyline
I have no play on the moneyline.
Run Line (Spread)
I'll take the Yankees run line.
Over/Under
I have no bet for the game total.