The Milwaukee Brewers (52-40) host the Los Angeles Dodgers (56-37) on Wednesday, July 9, 2025. First pitch from American Family Field is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on MLB Network.
The Dodgers enter Wednesday on a five-game losing streak and at risk of being swept by the Brewers. Will L.A. get right with Tyler Glasnow back on the hill?
Find my Dodgers vs Brewers prediction and moneyline pick for Wednesday afternoon below.
Dodgers vs Brewers Prediction, Moneyline Pick
- Dodgers vs Brewers pick: Dodgers Moneyline -156 (Play to -170)
My Dodgers vs Brewers best bet is the Dodgers moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Dodgers vs Brewers Odds, Lines
| Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +105 | 8.5 -120o / 100u | -165 |
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -125 | 8.5 -120o / 100u | +140 |
Dodgers vs Brewers Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Tyler Glasnow (LAD) | Stat | LHP Jose Quintana (MIL) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | W-L | 6-3 |
| 0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.6 |
| 4.50 / 5.45 | ERA / xERA | 3.44 / 4.18 |
| 5.42 / 4.17 | FIP / xFIP | 4.42 / 4.72 |
| 1.28 | WHIP | 1.39 |
| 15.6% | K-BB% | 6.1% |
| 33.3% | GB% | 44.9% |
| 96 | Stuff+ | 85 |
| 85 | Location+ | 106 |
Dodgers vs Brewers Preview, Prediction
Dodgers Betting Preview
Tyler Glasnow makes his highly anticipated return on Wednesday. A shoulder injury has sidelined him for the past few months, but there’s reason for optimism that he can make an immediate impact.
He's coming off the best season of his career (excluding the shortened COVID-19 campaign). Last year’s performance earned Glasnow an All-Star nod and the right-hander finished the season with a 9-6 record, 3.49 ERA and 0.95 WHIP.
His underlying metrics were even stronger. Glasnow ended the year with a 2.65 expected ERA (xERA) and .195 expected batting average (xBA), two of the best marks in the MLB.
Glasnow will most likely be on a pitch count in this outing. That still bodes well for Los Angeles backers, considering the Dodgers’ bullpen ranks seventh in expected fielding independent pitching (xFIP) and fifth in wins above replacement (WAR).
Brewers Betting Preview
Los Angeles' relief corps is stronger than Milwaukee's. It outranks the Brewers’ bullpen in each of those two aforementioned key categories.
Milwaukee will also be at a substantial disadvantage at the plate. This season, the Dodgers outrank the Brewers in runs scored per game, hits per game, slugging percentage and OPS.
Things don’t look much better with Glasnow on the mound. Through 27 combined plate appearances against the right-hander, the current Milwaukee roster owns a mere .077 batting average, .192 slugging percentage and .132 weighted on-base average (wOBA).
Lastly, Jose Quintana takes the mound for the Brewers. His ERA overshadows his true performance this season, making him a strong sell-high candidate.
Dodgers vs Brewers Prediction, Betting Analysis
Quintana's 3.44 ERA is helping create a generous price for the Dodgers. That said, Quintana possesses a 4.18 xERA and ranks in the bottom third of the league in xBA, strikeout rate and walk rate.
The only true advantage that Milwaukee possesses in this matchup is home field. However, the Dodgers also possess a winning record on the road and are more than capable of utilizing their stronger lineup and pitching matchup to take care of business.
Pick: Dodgers Moneyline -156 (Play to -170)
Moneyline
As mentioned, I'm betting on the Dodgers moneyline.
Run Line (Spread)
I also like Los Angeles to cover, but I find more value in just taking the outright moneyline price.
Over/Under
I lean toward the under, but I don't trust Quintana.
