The Los Angeles Dodgers and Minnesota Twins continue their MLB interleague series on Tuesday, July 22, 2025. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on MLB Network.
The Dodgers notched their first win of the second half in the series opener — can they take this series tonight with ace Yoshinobu Yamamoto on the hill?
Continue below to find my MLB betting preview and Dodgers vs Twins pick for Tuesday.
My Dodgers vs Twins Pick
- Twins vs Dodgers picks: Under 8.5
My Twins vs Dodgers best bet is the game total under 8.5. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Dodgers vs Twins Odds
| Twins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -109 | 8 -114o / -107u | +185 |
| Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -111 | 8 -114o / -107u | -230 |
Dodgers vs Twins Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) | Stat | RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-4 | W-L | 8-7 |
| 0.80 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.60 |
| 3.95 / 4.12 | ERA /xERA | 2.59 / 2.91 |
| 4.41 / 4.89 | FIP / xFIP | 3.21 / 3.13 |
| 1.33 | WHIP | 1.04 |
| 10.9% | K-BB% | 19.2% |
| 30.6% | GB% | 52.9% |
| 89 | Stuff+ | 95 |
| 98 | Location+ | 108 |
The Betting Insider’s Dodgers vs Twins Preview
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
Yoshinobu Yamamoto takes the mound for Los Angeles, entering the night with an 8–7 record and a sterling 2.59 ERA across 19 starts.
He’s been everything the Dodgers hoped for in his first MLB season, pairing elite command with an electric arsenal that includes a devastating splitter, a mid-90s fastball, and a curveball that averages nearly 64 inches of vertical drop.
Opponents are hitting just .194 against him, and he’s racked up 116 strikeouts over 104.1 innings while walking just 36.
He’s also kept the ball in the yard, allowing only eight home runs all year. Yamamoto had a brief stretch in mid-June where his command wavered and his ERA rose above three, but he has since recalibrated.
Over his last four outings, he’s allowed just four earned runs in 19.2 innings, including a seven-inning gem against the Giants in his most recent start.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Twins will counter with Simeon Woods Richardson, who has quietly been putting together a respectable season of his own. The 24-year-old owns a 5–4 record and a 3.95 ERA across 15 starts, and while the surface-level stats might not turn heads, his development has been a crucial stabilizer in Minnesota’s rotation.
He isn’t going to overpower anyone — his fastball averages just under 93 mph — but he mixes in a slider, curveball, and changeup with enough precision to keep hitters honest. His 1.33 WHIP points to some traffic on the basepaths, but he’s largely managed to avoid the blow-up innings that plagued him early in his career.
The end of June and beginning of July have been particularly kind to Woods Richardson. He’s allowed just two earned runs across his last four starts (19.2 innings total), showing improved command and pitch sequencing.
The Dodgers are one of the most potent offenses in all of baseball, but they haven’t shown it over the last month. They rank 24th in wRC+ over the L30 days and 27th in wRC+ in the last two weeks, while holding the 4th highest K-rate in the league.
Dodgers vs Twins Prediction, Betting Analysis
One of The Betting Insider’s most consistent systems has been triggered for tonight's game.
System 1: Home favorites that just snapped an over streak by going well under, against the public (60% win rate, 15% ROI)
Home team’s ML is between -165 and -450
Home team has gone over the total in 2 of their last 3 games
Home team went under by 2 or more runs in their previous game
Less than 50% of public bets on the under
Closing total between 5.5 and 9
This system capitalizes on a momentum shift: after a home team rides an Over streak, the public stays on that train even when the scoring trend quietly breaks. By jumping in after the Over streak is snapped—but before the market fully adjusts—you’re catching a soft spot for the Under. The setup fades public recency bias and captures value in a spot where scoring expectations may be quietly dropping.
Along with one of our top systems, we have 2 other great systems in-play. Check them out below!
System 2: Home favorites starting an Ace (61% win rate, 17.5% ROI)
The home team’s SP has an ERA below 2.75
The home team’s SP has a WHIP of 1.10 or better
The home team’s SP has a K% above 20%
The home team is favored, up to -280
Less than 50% of public bets on the under
Home team has gone under in at least 45% of their games this season
System 3: Sharp Money unders, non-division (58% win rate, 12% ROI)
Non-division matchup
Total between 8 and 10
No more than 30% of public bets on the under
The difference between money% and ticket% is at least +1%
The total stayed the same, or moved down from open
Home team has gone under in at least 45% of their games this season
Pick: Under 8.5
Moneyline
We don't see value backing either team on the Moneyline
Run Line (Spread)
We don't see value backing either team on the Run Line
Over/Under
As mentioned, we are backing Under 8.5
