The Philadelphia Phillies host the Los Angeles Dodgers on October 6, 2025. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 6:08 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on TBS.
Find my MLB betting preview and Dodgers vs Phillies prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction
- Dodgers vs Phillies pick: Dodgers ML
My Dodgers vs Phillies best bet is on the Dodgers to win outright. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Dodgers vs Phillies Odds
| Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +135 | 7.5 -115o / -105u | -130 |
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -160 | 7.5 -115o / -105u | +110 |
Dodgers vs Phillies Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP Blake Snell (LAD) | Stat | LHP Jesus Luzardo (PHI) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-4 | W-L | 15-7 |
| 1.9 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 5.3 |
| 2.35/3.20 | ERA /xERA | 3.92/3.31 |
| 2.70/3.07 | FIP / xFIP | 2.90/3.25 |
| 1.26 | WHIP | 1.22 |
| 18.1% | K-BB% | 21.0% |
| 26.7% | GB% | 42.8% |
| 98 | Stuff+ | 102 |
| 112 | Location+ | 112 |
Sean Paul’s Dodgers vs Phillies Preview
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview: Getting Hot at the Right Time
When the Dodgers inked Blake Snell to a long-term deal, they were hoping for a potential ace — and he's been just that.
In Snell's final three regular-season outings, he allowed one run and nine hits in 19 innings — including one where he held the Phillies to zero runs in seven innings. He finished his first regular season in LA with a 2.35 ERA and a 2.70 FIP in a truncated 11-start season.
He carried that into October, limiting the Reds to two runs over seven innings while punching out nine.
Snell should have success against the Phillies since two of their best hitters (Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper) are lefties.
The Dodgers' offense finally got rolling in September. They finished the month with a 113 wRC+, good for fifth in MLB. Mookie Betts posted a 144 wRC+, and he recorded two or more hits in two of his three playoff games. That's a pleasant sight, as Betts had the worst year of his career. If he keeps hitting, that makes the Dodgers the scariest offense in the sport with all their firepower.
My biggest concern about the Dodgers heading into the playoffs was their bullpen. Tanner Scott and Blake Treinen struggled to hold leads — which led to Dave Roberts testing out Roki Sasaki as the closer. And he's looked dominant, closing out a game against both the Reds and the Phillies using his 99-101 mph fastball and a devastating splitter. I begrudgingly trust the Dodgers' pen now.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview: What Version of Luzardo Do We Get?
Just because I think Snell lines up better here, I have to give credit to Jesus Luzardo. He really helped pick up the slack when Zack Wheeler hit the injured list.
Very few pitchers have a bigger disparity between actual results and expected results than Luzardo. Luzardo finished his first year in Philly with a 3.92 ERA, which doesn't jump off the page. However, he also had a 3.32 xERA and a 2.90 FIP. The issue for Luzardo is that his bad starts are usually really bad, and he's unhittable in his good starts.
He faced the Dodgers (and Snell) a few weeks ago, and he allowed four runs over seven innings, with Freeman and Ohtani going yard.
Philadelphia trotted out four left-handed hitters for that contest: Harper, Schwarber, Max Kepler, and Bryson Stott. Stott is the only one who tallied a hit against Snell, as he neutralized the big boppers in the Phillies' order.
On paper, the Phillies were one of the better offensive teams in September, ranking second in wRC+ (121), fifth in homers (42) and posting an 8.5% walk rate. Yet, they stood basically no chance against Snell. Unless Snell loses the strike zone, which he had no issues with in mid-September, he should cruise through this lineup.
Also, the bridge to stud closer Jhoan Duran is a bit messy. Matt Strahm and David Robertson gave it up in game one and Orion Kerkering has an ERA over 5.00 in his last 15 outings. If the Phillies have a lead, they have no choice but to trust that trio.
Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction, Betting Analysis
Nobody in baseball is better than the Dodgers and I think they sweep this series. Snell will twirl a gem and the Dodgers' pesky ABs will lead to an uncomfortable outing for Luzardo. Even if Luzardo pitches well, I just can't see Snell imploding here.
Sure, pitching a road playoff game in Philly is tough, but this Dodgers team is different. They look head and shoulders above the rest of the pack right now. They scored 5+ runs in each of their first three playoff games and beating them will be tough with that much offensive output.
Pick: Dodgers ML (-130, bet365; play to -150)
Moneyline
As mentioned, I plan on backing the Dodgers in tonight's game.
Run Line (Spread)
I'll pass on this.
Over/Under
I will also pass on this.
Dodgers vs Phillies Betting Trends
