Yankees’ Odds of Signing Manny Machado Have Improved Drastically

Yankees’ Odds of Signing Manny Machado Have Improved Drastically article feature image

Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Los Angeles Dodgers shortstop Manny Machado (8).

  • With recent rumors making it seem like Manny Machado wants to sign with the Yankees, their odds of landing him have gone way up.
  • After opening at -130 a couple weeks back, they are now -442, which is a 25% increase in implied probability.
  • The Yankees are currently +700 to win the World Series, but could move to +600 or higher if they sign Machado.

Manny Machado is expected to make his free agency decision in January, but some believe he’s already made up his mind. You can include oddsmakers in that group.


With recent reports stating that Machado doesn’t want to go to Philadelphia and one reporter claiming Machado has already chosen the Yankees, the Bronx Bombers’ odds of landing the slugger have moved a tremendous amount.

After opening at -130 earlier in December, the Yankees are now -442. To the layperson, that is an implied probability swing from 56.5% to 81.5% — a solid 25% boost.

>> Sign up for The Action Network’s daily newsletter to get the smartest conversation delivered into your inbox each morning.

The Yankees are +700 to win their 28th title, which is tied with the Red Sox and Astros in the American League and slightly behind the Dodgers at +600. The Dodgers had been amongst the 7-1 crew, but moved to 6-1 following their trade with the Reds.

At the time, everyone believed that trade would directly lead to Harper signing with L.A., but talks on that front have been rather quiet since. If they don’t sign Harper or make a different significant acquisition, they’ll probably drop back down a bit.

If Machado were to sign with the Yankees, you can certainly expect them to move to at least +600 and perhaps higher.

Stay tuned, as the new year is sure to bring some huge baseball news.

How would you rate this article?

Top Offers

Action Newsletter
Sign Up >
The top betting news and picks for all the big games delivered directly to your inbox daily.
Action Podcasts
Listen >
The award-winning Action Network Podcast covers all angles of betting and DFS from industry-leading pros.
Betting 101
Bet Smarter >
New to betting? No sweat. Check out our betting education hub, which ranges from beginner tips to advanced strategies.
Sports Betting Legalization
Predictions >
When will sports betting be legal in your state? Check our our projections for all 50 states.
Betting Calculators
Try Now >
Easily calculate your winnings for straight bets and parlays using American, Decimal, or Fractional odds.
Expert Picks
Best Bets >
See all of the bets Action Network experts are making in real-time, covering the big games and the hidden gems.

Top Stories