Marlins vs. Giants Odds, Picks, Predictions: Can San Francisco Pick Up Where It Left Off? (April 8)
Lachlan Cunningham/MLB Photos via Getty Images. Pictured: Logan Webb
- The Giants begin their NL West defense with a Friday matchup against the Marlins.
- San Fran was dominant at home a year ago, and Logan Webb looks to prove last season was no fluke against Miami ace Sandy Alcantara.
- Continue reading for a full breakdown of this matchup, including a betting pick.
Marlins vs. Giants Odds
|Time||4:35 p.m. ET|
|Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.|
After shocking everyone who doesn’t follow them and does not understand the brilliance of team President Farhan Zaidi in 2021, the San Francisco Giants look to pick up where they left off in 2022 as they open against the Miami Marlins. The Giants seem well positioned to back up their MLB-best 107-win effort from a year ago.
On the other side, the Marlins look to remind people they exist in the stacked NL East. It seems they’re doing that by acquiring as many offensive players whose names start with the letter “J” as possible. They’ve got my attention.
Both teams come into today with a chip on their shoulder despite being on opposite ends of the “chip on their shoulder” spectrum. However, this pitching matchup could make for one of the more entertaining games on today’s slate.
Marlins, Alcantara Not Great on Road
Sandy Alcantara is tasked with taking on the formidable Giants offense.
In his career, Alcantara sports a 2.84 ERA (2.25 in two starts) at Oracle Park. Despite the small sample, he and the Marlins are 0-2 in those starts. Additionally, Alcantara’s 4.40 career FIP and 4.02 xFIP on the road in 2021 indicates he is more hittable on the road in general.
In terms of run support Alcantara is 3-24 when his team scores 0-2 runs. The Marlins are heading into San Francisco to face Logan Webb after sporting a bottom-five road offense a season ago.
This does not bode well for the Marlins, their offense, or their ace pitcher.
Giants Riding High With Webb
In addition to their MLB-best regular season win total, the San Francisco Giants also had the second-most wins in MLB at home in 2021.
A huge reason for this was they were a top-5 offense in terms of wRC+. Furthermore, they were a top checks notes one offense at home vs. RHP in 2021, sporting a 123 wRC+ as a team.
Additionally, Webb not only established himself as the statistical ace of the Giants’ staff, but his postseason run was stuff of legend.
Not only was he dominant for the Giants down the stretch last season, but he was particularly tough at home.
Webb had a 2.35 FIP and 2.39 xFIP at home, but he also proved that he is a big-game pitcher. Considering the expectations set in 2021, Webb is ready to take the ball in the first game of the season and begin his candidacy for NL Cy Young.
Despite the Giants’ triumphant 2021 season, most books have the Giants at 86.5 wins in 2022. That is rude.
Obviously, the sportsbooks still have not caught wind of the Giants’ “cheating laboratory” and that should make for some good values throughout the year. Especially early in the season.
The Giants are not only a solidly constructed team, but they utilize platoons and leverage splits as good as any team in the league.
With their ace on the mound at home, the Giants ML is the bet to take here. They opened at -140 on DraftKings and there is a strong argument for why this is the case.
I would take this up to -150, but not beyond that.
Pick: Giants ML -140