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Padres vs Dodgers Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds for Sunday, July 5

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds for Sunday, July 5 article feature image
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Photo Credit: Jonathan Hui-Imagn Images
Pictured: Emmet Sheehan goes into the windup

The Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Diego Padres on July 5, 2026. First pitch from UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NBC/Peacock.

The Dodgers are favored by -210 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Padres are +176 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9.5 runs.

Find my MLB picks and Padres vs Dodgers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.


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Padres vs Dodgers Prediction

  • Padres vs Dodgers Pick: Over 9.5 (-115, FanDuel)

My Padres vs Dodgers best bet is 10+ total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Padres vs Dodgers Odds

Padres Logo
Sunday, Jul 5
7:20 p.m. ET
NBC/Peacock
Dodgers Logo
Padres Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-118
9.5
-115o / -105u
+176
Dodgers Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
-102
9.5
-115o / -105u
-210
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
FanDuel Logo
  • Padres vs Dodgers moneyline: Padres +176, Dodgers -210
  • Padres vs Dodgers over/under: 9.5 (-115o / -105u)
  • Padres vs Dodgers spread: Dodgers -1.5 (-102), Padres +1.5 (-118)

Padres vs Dodgers Probable Pitchers

JP SearsStatEmmet Sheehan
1-1W-L4-5
-0.3fWAR (FanGraphs)0.8
6.97 / 7.88ERA / xERA5.08 / 4.08
7.85 / 5.32FIP / xFIP4.68 / 3.83
8.0K-BB%19.0
28.6GB%36.5
.281BABIP.294
91Stuff+99
95Location+107

Padres vs Dodgers MLB Betting Preview

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San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The Padres (43-45) are currently on an eight-game losing streak as they try to avoid a four-game sweep against the division-rival Dodgers.

However, San Diego's bats have slowly been heating up, as highlighted by a 120 wRC+ over the last seven days. They'll look to steal a win against the Dodgers with veteran lefty JP Sears on the mound.

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Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Dodgers (59-31) have lived up to lofty expectations and are on pace to win 110+ games. This is despite not getting much from their prized free-agent signings like Edwin Diaz and Kyle Tucker.

Los Angeles has won eight of its last 10 games and is looking to keep it rolling with Emmet Sheehan on the mound. The young right-hander will look to build off his last outing, as he's been disappointing overall.


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Padres vs Dodgers Pick, Betting Analysis

I'm going with Padres/Dodgers Over 9.5.

This is a higher number than what we usually see at Dodger Stadium, as it's typically around 8.5. Despite that, we're going Over.

For one, we're getting favorable hitting weather in Los Angeles tonight. Forecasts call for 81-degree temperatures with 8 mph winds blowing out to center field. That's bad news for a fly-ball pitcher like JP Sears, who has allowed an otherworldly 13.9% barrel rate this season. Facing the murderer's row of hitters the Dodgers have could lead to some crooked numbers in these conditions.

On top of that, Sheehan is facing the Padres for the second straight start, so his arsenal is very fresh to them. He has had major issues with the long ball, as highlighted by a 1.86 HR/9. In a game with favorable hitting conditions, this is an unfavorable environment for Sheehan.

With two fly-ball pitchers, hot temperatures and the wind blowing out, this sets up as a high-scoring game between these two NL West division rivals.

Pick: Over 9.5 (-115, FanDuel)


Padres vs Dodgers Weather


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About the Author
Frank AmmiranteVerified Action Expert

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