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MLB Home Run Picks Today: Player Props for Twins vs Yankees, Padres vs Dodgers, More for Sunday, July 5

MLB Home Run Picks Today: Player Props for Twins vs Yankees, Padres vs Dodgers, More for Sunday, July 5 article feature image
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Brad Penner-Imagn Images. Pictured: Yankees CF Trent Grisham

We have another 15-game slate on Sunday, starting early with Mets vs. Braves at 12:30 p.m. ET and finishing with Red Sox vs. Angels at 9:30 p.m. ET.

As always, I've got some bangers for you, selecting players from five of those matchups.

Read on for my 5 MLB Home Run Picks Today.


MLB Home Run Picks Today

In the table below, you'll find each of Grant Neiffer's top Home Run prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.

GameTime (ET)Pick
Minnesota Twins LogoNew York Yankees Logo
1:35 PM
Philadelphia Phillies LogoKansas City Royals Logo
3:00 PM
San Francisco Giants LogoColorado Rockies Logo
4:00 PM
Toronto Blue Jays LogoSeattle Mariners Logo
5:00 PM
San Diego Padres LogoLos Angeles Dodgers Logo
7:20 PM
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Twins vs Yankees Prediction, Pick

Minnesota Twins Logo
Sunday, Jul 5
1:35 PM ET
NBC/Peacock
New York Yankees Logo
Trent Grisham Home Run
FanDuel Logo

The spot here is a great one, and the odds are far too high. Trent Grisham gets a plus matchup for lefty power vs. Joe Ryan, and the weather is good for hitting with temperatures in the mid 80s.

The Yankees CF is a great power bat and is way better in New York with that short right field porch.

I have the true odds for him under +300.

Pick: Trent Grisham Home Run



Phillies vs Royals Prediction, Pick

Philadelphia Phillies Logo
Sunday, Jul 5
3:00 PM ET
NBC/Peacock
Kansas City Royals Logo
Carter Jensen Home Run
FanDuel Logo

Phillies SP Aaron Nola is a complete gas can for lefty power at this point in his career, allowing over 2 HR/9 in recent years.

Carter Jensen is a good power bat, and the weather is good for hitting, with temperatures in the mid-80s and high humidity.

I have the true odds on the Royals catcher at around +420.

Pick: Carter Jensen Home Run



Giants vs Rockies Prediction, Pick

San Francisco Giants Logo
Sunday, Jul 5
4:00 PM ET
NBC/Peacock
Colorado Rockies Logo
Willy Adames Home Run
FanDuel Logo

The Giants get a massive park upgrade, and the matchup is great.

Rockies starter Tanner Gordon is an absolute gas can for both lefty and righty power, and the weather is great for hitting, with temperatures in the low 90s.

I have the true odds on Willy Adames at around +250

Pick: Willy Adames Home Run



Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction, Pick

Toronto Blue Jays Logo
Sunday, Jul 5
5:00 PM ET
NBC/Peacock
Seattle Mariners Logo
Cal Raleigh Home Run
FanDuel Logo

The Big Dumper hasn't been great so far this season, but the Mariners slugger has been hitting the ball better recently.

Blue Jays SP Trey Yesavage has been above average at keeping the ball in the park this season, but he's due for some massive regression with his 6.6% HR/FB rate. He grades out as an above-average matchup for power.

I have the true odds for Cal Raleigh at around +300.

Pick: Cal Raleigh Home Run



Padres vs Dodgers Prediction, Pick

San Diego Padres Logo
Sunday, Jul 5
7:20 PM ET
NBC/Peacock
Los Angeles Dodgers Logo
Andy Pages Home Run
FanDuel Logo

Andy Pages has been hit-or-miss this season, but the spot here is a great one.

Padres starter JP Sears is a gas can for righty power, and although the bullpen behind him is great, this is still a great matchup.

I have the true odds for the Dodgers CF at around +320.

Pick: Andy Pages Home Run



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About the Author
Grant NeifferVerified Action Expert

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