The Arizona Diamondbacks host the New York Mets on May 8, 2026. First pitch from Chase Field is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on ARID.
The Mets are favored by -133 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Diamondbacks are +110 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mets vs Diamondbacks prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mets vs Diamondbacks Prediction
- Mets vs Diamondbacks Pick: Nolan McLean Under 5.5 Strikeouts
My Mets vs Diamondbacks best bet is on Nolan McLean to stay under his strikeout total. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs Diamondbacks Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +125 | 8 -110o / -110u | -130 |
| Diamondbacks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -150 | 8 -110o / -110u | +110 |
- Mets vs Diamondbacks moneyline: Mets -133, Diamondbacks +110
- Mets vs Diamondbacks over/under: 8 (-111o / -110u)
- Mets vs Diamondbacks spread: Mets -1.5 (+125), Diamondbacks +1.5 (-152)
Mets vs Diamondbacks Probable Pitchers
| Nolan McLean (RHP) | Stat | Ryne Nelson (RHP) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | W-L | 1-13 |
| 1.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.1 |
| 2.97/2.33 | ERA / xERA | 6.61/5.79 |
| 2.12/2.47 | FIP / xFIP | 5.50/5.00 |
| 26.1 | K-BB% | 10.5 |
| 45.6 | GB% | 26.7 |
| .273 | BABIP | .263 |
| 109 | Stuff+ | 105 |
| 101 | Location+ | 101 |
Mets vs Diamondbacks MLB Betting Preview
By Derek Carty
Editor's Note: This written best bet is a transcription from the latest episode of the Payoff Pitch podcast.
I’m looking at the Under on Nolan McLean Under 5.5 strikeouts.
It’s a scary bet because Nolan McLean is one of the most exciting young pitchers in baseball, and he’s really good. That’s exactly why we’re getting value on the under — the books know nobody wants to bet against him right now, so they’re shading the line heavily toward the Over.
We’ve already seen the number move up throughout the day because of public betting, though I expect it might come back down a bit.
He’s facing an Arizona offense that projects as the single least strikeout-prone team of the entire slate. The one big variable I’m watching is the roof status in Arizona. It’s 97 degrees there today.
Normally, you’d expect them to close the roof, but in night games, they often leave it open even when it’s hot. They still haven’t announced it yet, and I’m really hoping the roof stays open because that helps this projection.
If they close it, I don’t like the bet quite as much, but it would still be positive value. I’ll be monitoring that closely. I’m hoping we just get a solid, workmanlike outing from McLean instead of a dominant one.
Pick: Nolan McLean Under 5.5 Strikeouts
