The Minnesota Twins host the Miami Marlins on May 14, 2026. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MNNT.
The Twins are favored by -134 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Marlins are +114 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Marlins vs Twins prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Marlins vs Twins Prediction
- Marlins vs Twins Pick: Marlins ML (+100 or Better)
My Marlins vs Twins best bet is on Miami to win. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Marlins vs Twins Odds
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -182 | 8.5 -112o / -108u | +114 |
| Twins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +150 | 8.5 -112o / -108u | -134 |
- Marlins vs Twins moneyline: Marlins +114, Twins -134
- Marlins vs Twins over/under: 8.5 (-112o / -108u)
- Marlins vs Twins spread: Twins -1.5 (+150), Marlins +1.5 (-182)
Marlins vs Twins MLB Betting Preview
This game triggered one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams:
In Major League Baseball, road underdogs playing interleague games have historically been undervalued by oddsmakers.
Since 2016, despite winning only 43.1% of these games, these teams have generated a consistent positive ROI.
This trend has proven reliable across five consecutive seasons, indicating market inefficiencies in how these specific matchups are priced — likely due to lack of familiarity between leagues and public overconfidence in home and favorite teams.
Marlins vs Twins Pick, Betting Analysis
At the time of writing, we don’t have starting pitchers announced yet for this game.
However, I’m still happy to bet the Fish as undervalued interleague road dogs.
I think the Twins are crazy overvalued, and they’ve been regressing since their red-hot start at the plate. Byron Buxton carries this lineup, but the rest of the guys swing and miss far too much (12% swinging-strike rate over the past three weeks, seventh-highest) while generating too much soft contact (37% hard-hit rate this season, fourth-lowest).
The Fish have their warts, but I love their young core. Xavier Edwards, Otto Lopez, and Liam Hicks are three legit hitters.
Miami should also have a bullpen advantage, if only by default — Minnesota’s relief staff is amongst the worst in baseball (5.01 xFIP, 30th; -0.3 fWAR, 25th; 91 Pitching+, 30th).
I see Miami as a team that should improve as the season progresses. I see Minnesota as a ballclub that likely continues to regress.
I’m willing to bet on that narrative this Thursday.
Pick: Marlins ML (+100 or Better)
