The Chicago Cubs host the Milwaukee Brewers on Tuesday, June 17, 2025. First pitch from Wrigley Field is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSWI and MLB.TV.
NL Central rivals Chicago and Milwaukee will begin their second series of the season on Tuesday, with the Brewers currently sitting 5.5 games behind the Cubs in the division race. Chad Patrick (3.25 ERA, 74 2/3 IP) will take on Ben Brown (5.71 ERA, 69 1/3 IP) in the series opener.
Find my Brewers vs Cubs prediction and MLB betting preview below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, Picks
- Brewers vs Cubs Pick: Under 9 (-115 · Play to -120)
My Cubs vs. Brewers best bet is on both teams to go under the total. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Brewers vs Cubs Odds, Line, Spread
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -157 | 9 -105o / -115u | +133 |
| Cubs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +129 | 9 -105o / -115u | -164 |
Brewers vs Cubs Projected Pitchers
| RHP Chad Patrick (MIL) | Stat | RHP Ben Brown (CHC) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-6 | W-L | 3-5 |
| 1.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.4 |
| 3.25/3.77 | ERA /xERA | 5.71/4.47 |
| 3.47/4.15 | FIP / xFIP | 3.30/3.38 |
| 1.26 | WHIP | 1.47 |
| 15.0 | K-BB% | 19.4 |
| 27.2 | GB% | 42.2 |
| 105 | Stuff+ | 98 |
| 99 | Location+ | 99 |
Brewers vs Cubs Betting Analysis, Preview
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
Patrick has been a pleasant surprise for the Brewers this season, having pitched to an ERA of 3.25 across 74 2/3 innings. He held a 2.90 ERA in 136 1/3 innings in Triple-A last season and has had a more seamless transition to the big leagues than expected.
Patrick's underlying profile suggests his much-better-than-average ERA is more than just favorable luck. He holds a 3.77 xERA and 3.47 FIP. His stuff grades out well (105 Stuff+), and he's been able to locate his five-pitch mix effectively this season.
Patrick struggled in his last outing against the Braves, but aside from that, he has been in strong form recently. Over his last five starts, Patrick holds a 3.08 ERA, 3.35 xFIP and a Stuff+ rating of 109.
The Brewers have struggled to hit right-handed pitching this season, as they rank 25th in wRC+ (93) versus righties and hold the second-highest soft contact rate in MLB.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
Brown has had a disappointing start to the season after posting a 3.58 ERA across 55 1/3 IP in 2024, but the underlying numbers suggest he hasn't been all that much worse.
Brown holds an xFIP of 3.38 and an xERA of 4.47 this season, and his K-BB% is down just a hair to 19.4.
His inability to strand base runners at close to a league average rate has ruined what appears to be a respectable overall process. He has stranded just 64% of runners this season, but with men in scoring position, he actually holds a considerably better xFIP of 2.31, and his strikeout clip rises to 30.9%.
The Cubs rank fifth in wRC+ against right-handed pitching this season and sit at ninth in wRC+ over the last 30 days.
Brewers vs Cubs Best Bets, Pick
It may not seem overly appealing to back Brown in the betting market right now, but this appears to be a good time to try and buy low on the talented young righty against one of the league's worst offenses versus right-handed pitching.
Despite some indicators suggesting that Brown has actually pitched better with RISP, he has suffered from a .519 BABIP with men on, which has caused his well below average ERA. If he can find positive regression in that key area, he should start to offer results closer to what we saw last season.
Aside from his most recent outing, Patrick has been in excellent form of late and has the stuff to continue performing at a high level throughout the rest of the season.
Both bullpens are well-rested after off days on Monday and have been in great form recently. Plus, both teams are near the top of the league in most defensive categories.
At -115, there's value in backing the game to feature fewer than nine runs. I would bet it down to -120.
Pick: Under 9 (-115 · Play to -120)
