The Cincinnati Reds host the Milwaukee Brewers on August 17, 2025. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSWI.
The Brewers are on a team-record 14-game winning streak and will look to keep it going by sweeping this series. Today, we have a southpaw duel on the mound: Jose Quintana against Andrew Abbott.
Find my MLB betting preview and Brewers vs Reds prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Brewers vs Reds Prediction
- Brewers vs Reds pick: Under 9.5 (-120)
My Brewers vs Reds best bet is Under 9.5 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Brewers vs Reds Odds
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +145 | 9.5 100o / -120u | -115 |
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -175 | 9.5 100o / -120u | -105 |
Brewers vs Reds Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP Jose Quintana (MIL) | Stat | LHP Andrew Abbott (CIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 10-4 | W-L | 8-3 |
| 0.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.9 |
| 3.44 / 4.92 | ERA / xERA | 2.41 / 3.40 |
| 4.73 / 4.66 | FIP / xFIP | 3.66 / 4.39 |
| 1.30 | WHIP | 1.11 |
| 7.9 | K-BB% | 14.0 |
| 44.2 | GB% | 31.0 |
| 82 | Stuff+ | 94 |
| 108 | Location+ | 101 |
Brewers vs Reds Preview
Jose Quintana is coming off a one-run and three-hit game against the Pirates, as well as two consecutive quality starts.
He has a 3.66 ERA across his past seven outings and will face a Reds offense that ranks 28th in wRC+ this month with a 74 rating.
On the other side, the Brewers offense is firing on all cylinders, but will have to deal with Andrew Abbott.
The Cincinnati starter has a 2.22 ERA over his last seven outings and has given up more than three runs just once in his previous six starts.
Both bullpens have done well this season, with an ERA under four: 3.85 for Milwaukee and 3.95 for Cincinnati.
This aligns with our Bet Labs recommendation for the under.
This system targets Sunday MLB games where the home team is coming off 1–2 consecutive overs, suggesting recent offensive outperformance or inflated totals.
The theory is that on Sundays —often the final game of a series and an early start — teams may rest key hitters, lineups can be inconsistent, and pitchers often perform better against lineups they’ve already seen.
With an opening total in the 8 to 9.5 run range, the line is high enough to offer under value when offensive regression is likely.
Betting the under in these specific setups has historically yielded a positive ROI over time, taking Unders with moderate totals (8 to 9.5) in Sunday games with home teams on an Over streak.
Sunday games usually wrap up the series and are played during the day, usually after a night game.
Hitters may tend to be worn out by the end of the week, and collectively as a league, players tend to take their rest days on Sundays, so there's an added advantage towards Unders.
Pick: Under 9.5 (-120, BetMGM)
