The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Milwaukee Brewers on August 16, 2026. First pitch from UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on BREW.
The Dodgers are favored by -177 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Brewers are +162 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Brewers vs Dodgers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Brewers vs Dodgers Prediction
- Brewers vs Dodgers Pick: Tarik Skubal Under 18.5 Outs (-155, bet365)
My Brewers vs Dodgers best bet is Tarik Skubal to stay under his outs prop. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Brewers vs Dodgers Odds
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -150 | 7.5 105o / -125u | +162 |
| Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +125 | 7.5 105o / -125u | -177 |
- Brewers vs Dodgers moneyline: Brewers +162, Dodgers -177
- Brewers vs Dodgers over/under: 7.5 (+105o / -125u)
- Brewers vs Dodgers spread: Brewers +1.5 (-150), Dodgers -1.5 (+125)
Brewers vs Dodgers Probable Pitchers
| Logan Henderson (RHP, MIL) | Stat | Tarik Skubal (LHP, LAD) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | W-L | 7-6 |
| 1.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 3.0 |
| 2.88/2.69 | ERA / xERA | 2.93/3.00 |
| 3.35/3.00 | FIP / xFIP | 2.80/2.68 |
| 26.9% | K-BB% | 26.3% |
| 30.1% | GB% | 43.3% |
| .246 | BABIP | .273 |
| 105 | Stuff+ | 118 |
| 106 | Location+ | 105 |
Brewers vs Dodgers MLB Betting Preview
This series finale features a pitching matchup worth the price of admission as the game's best left-hander, Tarik Skubal, faces off against the Milwaukee Brewers' young upstart, Logan Henderson.
The market has not taken a strong stance on Logan Henderson this afternoon, but a strong stance may be an understatement when it comes to the prop pricing of Tarik Skubal.
The Dodgers' new ace has not exactly looked sharp since donning new colors, as over his last three starts, two of which came in Dodger blue, Skubal has a below-average CSW of 27.2 percent and has a horrid first-pitch strike rate of 58.6 percent in that span as well.
It's clear he's yet to settle in, and his matchup this afternoon won't do him any favors. The Milwaukee Brewers are a potential NLCS opponent for Los Angeles, and they can make it tough for Skubal.
The Brewers are the most disciplined lineup in the majors against lefties, holding the lowest chase rate and are excellent at putting the ball in play, holding the third-lowest swinging strike rate.
They will test Skubal's recent command issues, and if he continues to not get ahead of hitters early, his time in this game will be limited.
That is the script that the market is pounding, as we've seen Skubal's odds to stay under 18.5 outs skyrocket. It opened around -125, but is at a consensus of -188 and as high as -220 at some books at the time of writing.
So, lay the juice with this current price at bet365. However, if it's not available to you, his under 7.5 strikeouts is correlated, and I would play that no higher than -140
Pick: Tarik Skubal Under 18.5 Outs (-155, bet365)
