Thursday's slate brings us nine games, starting early with Pirates vs. Phillies at 12:35 p.m. ET and finishing with Padres vs. Dodgers at 10:10 p.m. ET.
As always, I've got some bangers for you, selecting players from five of those matchups.
Read on for my 5 MLB Home Run Picks Today.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
In the table below, you'll find each of Grant Neiffer's top Home Run prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 3:10 PM | |
  | 6:40 PM | |
  | 7:40 PM | |
  | 8:05 PM | |
  | 9:40 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Marlins vs Rockies Prediction, Pick
TJ Rumfield has been great this season, and the odds are a bit too high here.
The ballpark is one of the best in the league for power, and the weather is great for hitting, with temperatures in the 90s during game time.
Marlins SP Ryan Gusto hasn't allowed a ton of power this season, but he's due for some heavy regression and grades out as a plus matchup for lefty power hitters such as Rumfield.
I have the true odds on the Rockies 1B around +430, making this a great EV bet.
Pick: TJ Rumfield Home Run
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White Sox vs Guardians Prediction, Pick
The spot here is a good one, and the odds are a bit too low on Miguel Vargas.
The ballpark isn't great for righty power, but the weather more than makes up for it with temperatures in the mid 90s and wind blowing out to right at 6 MPH.
Guardians starter Slade Cecconi has been a plus matchup this season for righty power, allowing a 1.33 HR/9 and has been worse than that in his career.
I have the true odds on the White Sox third baseman around +330.
Pick: Miguel Vargas Home Run
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Rays vs Royals Prediction, Pick
There is no one hotter in the MLB than Junior Caminero, and it's not particularly close.
I don't know why pitchers keep throwing the ball to him, but I'm hopping on board here. The weather over in KC is great for hitting today with temperatures in the 90s and wind blowing out at 11 MPH.
Royals SP Stephen Kolek has been a well-above-average matchup for righty power this season, allowing a 1.54 HR/9.
I have the true odds on the Rays slugger around +200.
Pick: Junior Caminero Home Run
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Tigers vs Rangers Prediction, Pick
This is a price play on Dillon Dingler today. The ballpark is not great for power, and the matchup is an average one vs. Nathan Eovaldi.
The Rangers starter has been a plus matchup for righty power this season, but he's due for some positive regression and grades out as an average matchup for righty power.
Dingler has been one of the best home run hitters in the league this season, and there's no way he should be priced this high in an average spot.
I have the true odds for the Tigers catcher under +400, making this a great EV bet.
Pick: Dillon Dingler Home Run
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Angels vs Mariners Prediction, Pick
The spot here isn't a great one for the Angels outfielder, but the odds are a bit too high.
Mariners SP Bryce Miller has been a gas can for righty power this season, allowing a 2.21 HR/9 on the season. He's historically been a below-average matchup for righty power and is due for some positive regression, but still grades out as an average matchup for righty power with a massive 53% fly ball rate this season.
Jo Adell has been having an off season, but I have the true odds here around +450.
Pick: Jo Adell Home Run
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