MLB season is in full swing, and we have a Monday slate of 13 games.
I've got three MLB Home Run Props and home-run picks from these games: Dodgers vs. Blue Jays, Orioles vs. White Sox and Astros vs. Rockies.
MLB Home Run Props: Grant's HR Picks
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 7:07 PM | |
  | 7:40 PM | |
  | 8:40 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Editor's Note: A home run parlay is not the author's formal recommendation. These home run picks have value as straight bets.
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Dodgers vs Blue Jays HR Prop
I have no idea why the prices are so high in this game, but I'm not going to argue.
Max Scherzer is an absolute gas can at this point in his career, as he allowed a 2.45 HR/9 to lefties last season and a 1.45 HR/9 to righties. He's an extreme fly-ball pitcher who is incredibly prone to power.
I prefer lefties against Scherzer, but Hernandez is a solid power bat. I have the true odds here around +400, making this a great bet.
Pick: Teoscar Hernandez Home Run (+480 or Better)
Orioles vs White Sox Home Run Pick
We don't have a huge sample size of opposing pitcher Albert Suarez in MLB.
Even though he's been a below-average matchup for power in his career, he's due for some negative regression. Against lefties, Suarez grades out as a pitcher who should allow around 1.50 or 1.60 HR/9.
Murakami has been incredible to start the season and is one of the better power bats in the league. The wind should be blowing out at 13 mph, and although it's cold, this is still an above-average spot for hitting. I have the true odds here around +350, making this a great bet.
Pick: Munetaka Murakami Home Run (+420 or Better)
Astros vs Rockies Home Run Prop
I shouldn't have to say anything more than we are getting Yordong at +300 in Coors Field, but I'll go more in-depth.
Alvarez has been one of the best hitters in the league this season and has historically been one of the best power hitters in the league. This ballpark is one of the best in the league for hitting, and opposing pitcher Ryan Feltner is an above-average matchup for lefty power.
I have the true odds here around +250, making this a great bet.
Pick: Yordan Alvarez Home Run (+300 or Better)
