MLB NRFI & YRFI Predictions, Picks — Wednesday, July 23

MLB NRFI & YRFI Predictions, Picks — Wednesday, July 23 article feature image
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Photo by Aaron Doster-Imagn Images. Pictured: Max Fried

After going 0-2 yesterday, we now stand at 2-2 for the week. I've got two more picks on Wednesday, both for the evening slate.

Let's dive into my MLB NRFI and YRFI picks and model predictions.

Quickslip

MLB NRFI, YRFI Picks — July 23, 2025

Yankees vs. Blue Jays NRFI/YRFI Prediction

Yankees Logo
Wednesday, Jul 23
7:07 p.m. ET
Amazon Prime Video
Blue Jays Logo
YRFI -102 (Play to -110)
BetMGM Logo

Starting Pitchers: Max Fried vs. Chris Bassitt

We've got a strength-on-strength matchup in Toronto tonight, as two solid starting pitchers take on two powerful lineups.

The 8.5-run total is a cautiously optimistic sign for the offenses, which feature four of the top 30 hitters by wRC+ in baseball getting guaranteed first-inning at-bats.

That figure doesn't even include Jazz Chisholm Jr., who is likely to bat fourth for the Yankees and has a 164 wRC+ against righties on the season.

The top of the Blue Jays' lineup is also much more dangerous against lefties, which is a big boost in the matchup against Fried.

Both pitchers are solid enough that I wouldn't take this one at a much higher price, but at close to even money, it's worth it.

White Sox vs. Rays NRFI/YRFI Prediction

White Sox Logo
Wednesday, Jul 23
7:35 p.m. ET
FDSSUN
Rays Logo
Rays YRFI +190 (Play to +180)
DraftKings Logo

Starting Pitchers: Jonathan Cannon vs. Taj Bradley

I'm showing a slight value on the full-game YRFI in Tampa tonight, but the Rays drive the vast majority of that.

Besides being the much better offense, they also have a dream matchup with Jonathan Cannon.

Cannon has a first-time through-the-order ERA and xFIP both in the mid-fives, so he gives up a lot of early scoring.

I'm also interested in the Rays being the first team to score (-110 at BetMGM) as we could theoretically cash that bet in later innings. However, I prefer the Team YRFI at plus money, which I'm betting for half of a usual unit.

About the Author
Billy Ward has been passionate about fantasy sports since the 1990s and pursued a career as an MMA fighter, turning pro at 21 before returning to college to finish his degree. He has notable achievements in fantasy sports and DFS, including qualifying for the DraftKings UFC DFS world championship and five-figure wins in NFL DFS and best ball. Now a member of the Action Network’s predictive analytics team, Billy specializes in NFL, MLB, and combat sports, managing DFS player projection models and contributing to podcasts and live betting shows.

Follow Billy Ward @Psychoward586 on Twitter/X.

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