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Tuesday MLB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Angels-Mariners, Two Other Games

Jul 03, 2018 9:05 AM EDT

Wiseguys went 1-2 with their plays on Monday. They cashed the White Sox/Reds Under 9.5 but suffered a pair of tough-luck total losses in Washington and Arizona. The Red Sox/Nats Over was a prime example of how important a half run can be on a total. Sharps hit the Over 7, causing it to rise to 7.5. The game landed on 7, meaning early bird Wiseguys pushed, while late bettors who got the Sharp Report number lost. Just as in life, timing (and shopping for the best line) is everything when it comes to betting.

After analyzing Tuesday’s 15-game slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed three MLB bets that professionals are focusing on, starting at 7:10, 8:15 and 10:10 p.m. ET.

Data as of 2:45 p.m. ET. All bets risking one unit, not to win one unit. All total plays Listed Pitcher, not Action.

Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins (+112) 

7:10 p.m. ET

The Marlins rewarded contrarian wiseguys last night, cashing as a +125 dog with only 26% bets in the series opener. Public bettors say Miami is terrible and the Rays are due to bounce back tonight, but sharps are boarding the Jeter train once again.

Miami is getting only 23% of bets but 68% of dollars, a massive smart money discrepancy. The Marlins have also fallen from +118 to +112, indicating sharp reverse line movement in their favor. Wiseguys got down hard on Miami +128 at 5Dimes and +117 at Pinnacle, two of the sharpest offshore books, creating big liability on the home Interleague dog. Miami also matches the Bad Team After Win system (+180.15 units since 2005).

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Credit:

Mike Trout and Albert Pujols. Credit: Mitch Stringer-USA TODAY Sports

Follow Josh Appelbaum on Twitter
@Josh_Insights
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