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MLB Player Props, Picks for Yankees vs Giants on Opening Day — Wednesday, March 25

MLB Player Props, Picks for Yankees vs Giants on Opening Day — Wednesday, March 25 article feature image
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Sergio Estrada-Imagn Images

Pictured: Logan Webb

The MLB season is finally here, and it gets started with a star-studded matchup between the New York Yankees and the San Francisco Giants. A few of those stars are primed to start the season off on the right foot:

Let's dive into my MLB player props for Yankees vs Giants on Wednesday, March 25


MLB Player Props for Opening Day — Wednesday, March 25

  • Logan Webb Over 16.5 Outs Recorded (-101, DraftKings)
  • Rafael Devers 2+ Total Bases (+170, bet365)
Playbook

Yankees vs Giants Player Prop No. 1

Yankees Logo
Wednesday, Mar 25
8:05 p.m. ET
Netflix
Giants Logo
Logan Webb Over 16.5 Outs
DraftKings Logo

In the first few weeks of the season, it's very important to understand how built-up starters are entering their first starts of the year.

While results may vary in Spring Training, pitch count is vital.

For Giants' ace Logan Webb, he should be near mid-season form in terms of pitch count, as he worked up to 86 pitches in his final Spring Training start five days ago.

With Webb's leash not expected to be cut short in this outing, we should expect him to eat up innings — much like he did in 2025. He recorded more than 16.5 outs in 74% of his 34 starts in 2025.

While the Yankees' lineup is tough to navigate, Webb has proven to be one of the game's best as he can carve through a lineup by pounding the zone and generating groundballs.

Look for him to pick up right where he left off and deliver six quality innings tonight.

Pick: Logan Webb Over 16.5 Outs (-101, DraftKings)

Our Best Futures Bet For All 30 MLB Teams Image

Yankees vs Giants Player Prop No. 2

Yankees Logo
Wednesday, Mar 25
8:05 p.m. ET
Netflix
Giants Logo
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Total Bases
bet365 Logo

We flip sides and turn our attention to the Giants' top bat in Rafael Devers, who's being undervalued in this matchup.

Devers is coming off a rough spring, during which he hit .182 in 33 at-bats.

However, he was very unfortunate in his small sample this spring, as he posted elite Hard-Hit and Barrel rates while hitting the ball in the air nearly 46% of the time.

It's clear that he is still squaring up the ball when putting it in play. That should begin to pay dividends tonight as he faces a lethal lefty in Max Fried.

Fried was everything the Yankees paid for in 2025, leading the staff with authority.

Still, he was far from dominant against left-handed hitters, posting a 4.80 ERA behind a 33% fly-ball rate allowed to the side. Those fly balls also turned into extra-base hits at an alarming rate of 35.3% last season.

Factor this into a Spring Training where Fried struggled mightily with command early in counts, and posted a well-below-average CSW.

We should see Devers be in hitters' counts against Fried tonight, and it will be his turn to cash in on the positive regression in a big way.

Pick: Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Total Bases (+170, bet365)

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About the Author

Doug is a college football, college basketball and MLB contributor at the Action Network. He produces content centered around actionable advice with the goal of helping readers become better bettors. He studied journalism at Rutgers and has previously covered the New York Mets, Indianapolis Colts, and Mid-Atlantic region for Perfect Game.

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