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MLB Props: Minion’s Total Bases Bets for Red Sox vs Blue Jays, Cubs vs Padres

MLB Props: Minion’s Total Bases Bets for Red Sox vs Blue Jays, Cubs vs Padres article feature image
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Apr 10, 2026; San Diego, California, USA; San Diego Padres right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. (23) comes up to bat during the first inning against the Colorado Rockies at Petco Park. Mandatory Credit: Denis Poroy-Imagn Images

New column alert!

Each Wednesday and Friday, I’ll be selecting two hitters from the daily baseball slate who I favor to exceed their total base prop that day.

Here are my two favorite hitters to record two or more total bases on Wednesday, April 29.

MLB Props: Minion's Total Bases

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Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

vs. Red Sox, 3:07 PM ET

Brayan Bello is on the mound for Boston after a concerning start to his 2026 campaign. He’s recorded a whopping 9.00 ERA with a 2.27 WHIP across his first five starts of the season. His command isn’t there, and he’s already allowed 37 hits across 22 frames.

Bello has been trying to mix up his tempo more, throwing more sinkers and cutters rather than four-seamers in an attempt to salvage his batted-ball profile.

Though Vladdy’s power numbers haven’t been elite so far (two home runs), he has been remarkably efficient in the box (.340 average).

Across his five seasons in Boston, Bello has faced off against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. exactly 30 times. Over those plate appearances, Vladdy is hitting .400 with four doubles and two homers.

Pick: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (-120, FanDuel)

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Fernando Tatis Jr.

vs. Cubs, 4:10 PM ET

Fernando Tatis Jr. has had a rough start to the season, having yet to hit a single home run. But it’s only a matter of time until he finds his rhythm at the plate, and it’s a good time to buy low on San Diego’s slugger.

Jameson Taillon is set to take the mound for Chicago, and he’s also had a tough start to the season, posting a 4.55 ERA and 1.30 WHIP across his first five outings.

Taillon just can’t sustain velocity on his four-seamer anymore, so he’s been allowing more hard contact than ever — he’s already allowed seven homers. He’s also struggling with his command and control. Both are major issues for a guy who relies on precision pitching and ground balls.

In six career at-bats against Taillon, Tatis is 2-for-6 with a home run and a double.

It is only a matter of time until the Padres’ slugger finds form at the plate, and I think Wednesday afternoon presents a prime opportunity for him to do so versus a pitcher he has already gotten the best of in previous encounters.

Pick: Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (-140, FanDuel)

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About the Author

Ryan graduated from Providence College in 2016 with Bachelor Degrees in Business Economics & Mathematics. It was at Providence where Ryan really first found his passion for sports betting. For a lifelong sports fan with a knack for statistical analysis, he was instantly drawn to the fundamentals of the industry, specifically how sports betting markets functioned and fluctuated. In what primarily started as a recreational hobby, Ryan began studying the ins-and-outs of sports betting markets on a daily basis. He took to Twitter (now X), where he amassed a following for writing a sports betting blog that provided statistical analysis behind his wagers. In spite of seeking employment opportunities elsewhere post graduation, Ryan continued to follow his passion for the statistical analysis of sports betting wagers, eventually deciding to pursue a career in the sports betting industry.

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