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MLB Sharp Betting Pick (Tuesday, July 28): Dodgers vs. Astros

MLB Sharp Betting Pick (Tuesday, July 28): Dodgers vs. Astros article feature image

Bob Levey/Getty Images. Pictured: Alex Bregman

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros Betting Odds

Dodgers Odds -135 [Bet Now]
Astros Odds +115 [Bet Now]
Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-115) [Bet Now]
First Pitch 9:10 p.m. ET

[Bet now at PointsBet and Win $100 if the Astros get at least one hit]

Opening Day aside, this is perhaps the first big circle around a date on the 2020 MLB calendar.

I suppose that might be true anyway as it marks a rematch of the 2017 World Series, but it’s of course the Astros cheating scandal — one that may have helped them win that World Series — that makes the upcoming game and series so juicy.

With that, this game will have no problem ranking as one of the most heavily bet of the night, and given its later start time, it could very well take the crown by first pitch.

But it’s not just casual baseball fans looking for action that are making moves. In fact, this moneyline has been one of the biggest targets for sharp bettors throughout the early part of Tuesday.

Astros vs. Dodgers Sharp Betting Pick

9:05 p.m. ET | Framber Valdez vs. Walker Buehler

The narrative says the Dodgers should come out with a bit of fire in this series. And most baseball fans are probably excited to see (and root for) that. It’s certainly difficult to be on the Astros’ side of this new rivalry, and perhaps that’s part of why they’ve generated just 28% of bets to this point — which would mark their lowest support since May 14, 2017 if it holds (though that’s unlikely).

But for those whose goal is simply to make smart bets, narratives and feelings toward a team sometimes need to be pushed aside.

The Astros — now around the +120 range across much of the market — opened as even bigger underdogs, up close to +140 at some of the earliest books. And while, as mentioned, they haven’t been a popular bet, they’ve seen their line fall closer and closer to even.

You can thank the sharps for that.

Four Sports Insights Bet Signals — triggered by unusual line moves that come as a result of sharp action — have lit up on Houston, and we’ve yet to see a single one in the opposite direction.

Most recently, the Astros were hit at +124, bringing the line to its current position.

With several hours remaining until game time, it’s certainly possible that we could see more movement in either direction, but for the first half of the day it’s been all Houston action from the pros.

Sharp angle: Astros (moved from +130 to +115 at PointsBet)

[Bet now at PointsBet and Win $100 if the Astros get at least one hit]

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