The Minnesota Twins (50-54) and Washington Nationals (42-62) will face off in the MLB this afternoon. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. The game will broadcast live on MASN2.
Minnesota is a -165 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Washington is +140 to pull off the upset. The over/under is set at 9.5 total runs.
Continue below for my Nationals vs Twins predictions and MLB picks for Sunday, July 27, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Nationals vs Twins Prediction
- Nationals vs Twins pick: Under 9.5 Runs (-105)
My Nationals vs Twins best bet is on the under, with the best line currently available at DraftKings. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Nationals vs Twins Odds
| Nationals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -145 | 9.5 -115o / -105u | +140 |
| Twins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +120 | 9.5 -115o / -105u | -165 |
Nationals vs Twins Preview, Picks
This system targets Sunday MLB games where the home team is coming off 1–2 consecutive overs, suggesting recent offensive outperformance or inflated totals, which appears to be the case in today's matchup between the Nationals and Twins.
The theory is that on Sundays — often the final game of a series and an early start — teams may rest key hitters, lineups can be inconsistent, and pitchers often perform better against lineups they’ve already seen.
With an opening total in the 8 to 9.5 run range, the line is high enough to offer under value when offensive regression is likely.
Betting the under in these specific setups has historically yielded a positive ROI over time.
Taking Unders with moderate totals (8 to 9.5) in Sunday games with home teams on an Over streak.
Sunday games usually wrap up the series and played during the day, usually after a night game.
Hitters may tend to be worn out by the end of the week, and collectively as a league, players tend to take their rest days on Sundays, so there's an added advantage towards Unders.
Nationals vs Twins Best Bet
- Under 9.5 (-105)
