The Baltimore Orioles host the New York Yankees on August 20, 2026. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MASN.
The Yankees are favored by -125 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Orioles are +105 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Yankees vs Orioles prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Yankees vs Orioles Prediction
- Yankees vs Orioles Pick: Gerrit Cole Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-120, bet365)
My Yankees vs Orioles best bet is on Cole to go over his strikeout prop. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Yankees vs Orioles Odds
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +135 | 7.5 -110o / -110u | -125 |
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -165 | 7.5 -110o / -110u | +105 |
- Yankees vs Orioles moneyline: Yankees -125, Orioles +105
- Yankees vs Orioles over/under: 7.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Yankees vs Orioles spread: Yankees -1.5 (+135), Orioles +1.5 (-165)
Yankees vs Orioles Probable Pitchers
| Gerrit Cole | Stat | Kyle Bradish |
|---|---|---|
| 6-6 | W-L | 7-11 |
| 2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2 |
| 3.22 / 3.38 | ERA / xERA | 3.65 / 4.08 |
| 3.31 / 3.56 | FIP / xFIP | 3.87 / 4.01 |
| 20.7 | K-BB% | 11.7 |
| 35.1 | GB% | 47.1 |
| .278 | BABIP | .302 |
| 102 | Stuff+ | 100 |
| 105 | Location+ | 99 |
Yankees vs Orioles MLB Betting Preview
Despite missing the entirety of the 2025 season, Gerrit Cole's stuff has not taken a step back. The veteran right-hander's Stuff+ is down five points from 2024, and while his 102 is a big drop-off from his high of 120 in 2020, it's clear his stuff still plays up as his numbers jump off the page for tonight's matchup.
Cole has made his living pounding the strike zone with authority this season. He's thrown strikes at nearly a 52 percent clip overall and holds an elite first-pitch strike rate of 64.5, per Handigraphs.
Unsurprisingly, his command and effectiveness in the zone have allowed him to get ahead and dominate lineups efficiently. His CSW of 29.9 percent and subsequent strikeout rate of 26.1 are both well above average.
Speaking of averages, with only 3.8 pitches thrown per at-bat, he's been working into the sixth inning consistently, which is the type of leash we need for him to get over his strikeout total tonight.
From a matchup perspective, it doesn't get much better. The Orioles hold the fourth-highest strikeout rate in the majors. While they've shown they can do damage in bursts of power, their below-average contact, swinging-strike and chase rates all speak to why their rallies will be stifled by the strikeout tonight.
Back Cole to rack up the strikeouts as his efficient style and long leash, especially given the heavy bullpen usage the last two days, afford him every opportunity to sail over this total.
Pick: Gerrit Cole Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-120, bet365)
