The Texas Rangers host the New York Yankees on April 28, 2026. First pitch from Globe Life Field is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on RSN.
The Yankees are favored by -122 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Rangers are +102 on the moneyline and +1.5. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Yankees vs Rangers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Yankees vs Rangers Prediction
- Jacob deGrom 5+ Strikeouts
- Cam Schlittler 5+ Strikeouts
- Under 7.5
Parlay odds: +142
Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Yankees vs Rangers Odds
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +139 | 7.5 102o / -122u | -122 |
| Rangers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -168 | 7.5 102o / -122u | +102 |
- Yankees vs Rangers moneyline: Yankees -122, Rangers +102
- Yankees vs Rangers over/under: 7.5 (+102o / -122u)
- Yankees vs Rangers spread: Yankees -1.5 (+139), Rangers +1.5 (-168)
Yankees vs Rangers Probable Pitchers
| RHP Cam Schlittler (NYY) | Stat | RHP Jacob deGrom (TEX) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | W-L | 2-0 |
| 1.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.7 |
| 1.77/2.32 | ERA / xERA | 2.13/2.99 |
| 1.53/2.30 | FIP / xFIP | 3.25/3.07 |
| 27.8% | K-BB% | 27.7% |
| 49.4% | GB% | 25.4% |
| .241 | BABIP | .291 |
| 113 | Stuff+ | 112 |
| 113 | Location+ | 114 |
Yankees vs Rangers MLB Betting Preview
New York Yankees Betting Preview
Immediately, it's a questionable total for me. Cam Schlittler has been one of the best in the game this year, and on the other side is Jacob deGrom. These two are #1 (Schlittler) and #7 (deGrom) in the league in SIERA. They're two of the most electric righties in the game. And we're getting a pretty pedestrian 7.5 total.
Schlittler has a 31% K% and a 3.0% BB%, and just to get things out of control, he's added on a 50% GB%. He's been pounding the zone with a minute 29% Ball% (first in baseball). And this is a great matchup against a lineup that has an OPS below .700. The Rangers are hitting .236 with a team OBP of .310. Schlittler is in a great spot for this one.
The Rangers have two hitters who we'd consider above average given the larger sample, and they're both struggling early on. Corey Seager has an uncharacteristic .744 OPS this year. Brandon Nimmo has had some moments, but he's below an .800 OPS as well. Lefties hit Schlittler better than righties, but they're still at just a .277 xwOBA off Schlittler, a very small number.
I'm not sure where the runs are going to come from against Cam tonight.
Texas Rangers Betting Preview
Schlittler almost outdoes Jacob deGrom, which is hard to believe. deGrom sports an elite 29% K-BB% with a sick 17% SwStr%. He's one of the best pitchers of all time if you can ignore the various injuries he's had in his career. He's throwing a touch harder this year compared to last, and the fruits of his labor are evident.
The one thing that gets deGrom in a little bit of trouble is the home run. He doesn't allow many balls in play with his strikeout rate, but when hitters do get to the ball – it's in the air (his 25% GB% is one of the lowest you'll find among pitchers).
I'm betting on a low-scoring affair in this one. But if you wanted to isolate a hitter or two to do some damage in this game, you should be looking for a fly ball hitter on the Yankees. Those guys are Cody Bellinger (39% FB%), Trent Grisham (35% FB%), Ryan McMahon (35% FB%), Austin Wells (35% FB%), and Aaron Judge (33% FB%).
Bellinger doesn't hit a ton of homers, but he does have two career bombs off of deGrom with a .263 batting average and a .684 SLG in 19 ABs.
Yankees vs Rangers Pick, Betting Analysis
I'm guessing this over/under line, or at least the price on said line, will be heading away from our favor. But if you can lock it in early and find something like what we're seeing here, I'm loving the even money line you can find on an under 7.5 bet.
That's a human speaking, though. If we look at what the projections (my own and The Bat X) are saying, we find that the math doesn't like Schlittler nearly as much as the eye does. A lot of this has to do with the small sample.
Projection systems will be hesitant to assign a 30% K% projection for a guy until he does it for at least a couple of hundred innings. Schlittler doesn't have that.
So the projections see Schlittler under 17.5 outs for -125 and Schlittler under 6.5 strikeouts for -144 and decides that those are smash prices. I think it has to do with a lack of belief in his elite walk rate. He was at an 11% walk rate in 2025, more than 9% in 2024, and now we're down at 3%.
That small of a number won’t continue. I think Schlittler will walk some more guys, and this is a team that likes to take the walk. So we're heading for a 7-8% BB% for Schlittler on the year, and maybe that begins tonight.
It's a tough call. If you believe in the projections, you're on the Schlittler unders. I'm personally not as confident with them, because I realize that Schlittler might just be significantly better than the projections will allow due to the small sample.
So I want to bet on pitching here. Here's what I've come up with on DraftKings:
Picks:
- Jacob deGrom 5+ Strikeouts
- Cam Schlittler 5+ Strikeouts
- Under 7.5
Parlay odds: +142
