The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Seattle Mariners on July 28, 2026. First pitch from UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on SportsNet LA.
The Dodgers are favored by -197 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Mariners are +161 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mariners vs Dodgers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mariners vs Dodgers Prediction
- Mariners vs Dodgers Pick: Under 9.5 Total Runs (-120)
My Mariners vs Dodgers best bet is Under 9.5 total runs tonight. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mariners vs Dodgers Odds
| Mariners Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -123 | 9.5 100o / -120u | +161 |
| Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +102 | 9.5 100o / -120u | -197 |
- Mariners vs Dodgers moneyline: Mariners +161, Dodgers -197
- Mariners vs Dodgers over/under: 9.5 (+100o / -120u)
- Mariners vs Dodgers spread: Mariners +1.5 (-123), Dodgers -1.5 (+102)
Mariners vs Dodgers Probable Pitchers
| Luis Castillo (RHP, SEA) | Stat | Justin Wrobleski (LHP, LAD) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-9 | W-L | 11-2 |
| 0.8 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.7 |
| 4.85 / 4.42 | ERA / xERA | 2.62 / 4.08 |
| 4.37 / 4.50 | FIP / xFIP | 3.26 / 4.14 |
| 12.9 | K-BB% | 13.9 |
| 37.7 | GB% | 40.6 |
| .289 | BABIP | .253 |
| 98 | Stuff+ | 96 |
| 110 | Location+ | 111 |
Mariners vs Dodgers MLB Betting Preview
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Mariners continue wading through water in limbo. They are 52-55 this season, but hold a +8 run differential and are just 2 and 1/2 games behind the division-leading Rangers.
Seattle is allegedly a buy at the upcoming deadline, and they are using 2026 breakout starter Emerson Hancock as trade bait. Hancock has been excellent this season, yet with their loaded rotation and upcoming star SP prospects, he is expendable.
Ideally, the Mariners target a middle-of-the-order bat who can drive in runs and spark life back into 2025 AL MVP runner-up Cal Raleigh.
The Mariners entered the season with a lineup similar to 2025, but with Raleigh's decline, they have not been able to produce consistent offense.
There have been bright spots between Cole Young's breakout and Dominic Canzone's step up, yet this is not enough to elevate an offense centered on other stars like Julio Rodriguez and Randy Arozarena.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
Unlike the Mariners, the Dodgers are on cruise control. They lead the NL West by 12 and 1/2 games and have won four of their past five games.
However, their 67-39 record is not stopping them from buying at the upcoming trade deadline. Los Angeles is one of the teams involved in trade talks with the Detroit Tigers for reigning AL Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal.
Skubal would join a rotation loaded with top-end pitching talent. Blake Snell, Tyler Glasnow, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, and Shohei Ohtani are all ace-caliber pitchers on any given start.
Today's SP Justin Wrobleski and fellow former Dodgers prospect Emmett Sheehan are experiencing breakouts, but one of them (or both) may be included in a potential deal for Skubal.
Skubal's contract is expiring at the end of this season and will cost an exorbitant amount to re-sign.
If the Dodgers were to acquire him, it would likely be as a rental for their third straight World Series championship, rather than the long haul, particularly due to the upcoming CBA negotiations between MLB and the MLBPA.
Mariners vs Dodgers Pick, Betting Analysis
Wrobleski may have some luck on his side this season (2.62 ERA, 4.08 xERA, 4.14 xFIP), but he is pitching more like an All-Star in recent weeks.
Wrobleski since June 16: 1.89 ERA, 3.59 xERA, 2.98 xFIP, 46.6% GB rate, 23.3% K-BB
This is a borderline-ace SP stretch from him. Yes, his matchups have been soft, yet he couldn't pitch like this in equally soft matchups earlier in the year.
The Mariners also struggle heavily against LHP with a meager 89 wRC+. This ranks fifth-worst in 2o26. Their offense as a whole is struggling lately too. They rank 24th in team wRC+ (92) in the past 30 days.
Meanwhile, Luis Castillo takes the mound for Seattle. He has pitched better in recent weeks after a putrid start to the season.
Castillo since May 26: 3.35 ERA, 3.22 xERA, 4.52 xFIP
Castillo struggles to generate strikeouts, but he is inducing soft contact. The Dodgers offense is first against RHP this season (116 wRC+), but they rank 20th in wRC+ in the past month.
With both bullpens having all their relievers available, the under is today's play.
Pick: Under 9.5 Total Runs (-120, DraftKings)
