The Minnesota Twins host the Kansas City Royals on July 28, 2026. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MNNT.
The Twins are favored by -160 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Royals are +135 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Royals vs Twins prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Royals vs Twins Prediction
- Royals vs Twins Pick: Byron Buxton Over 0.5 Home Runs
My Royals vs Twins best bet is a HR prop on Byron Buxton. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Royals vs Twins Odds
| Royals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +128 | 9 -115o / -107u | +135 |
| Twins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -155 | 9 -115o / -107u | -160 |
- Royals vs Twins moneyline: Royals +135, Twins -160
- Royals vs Twins over/under: 9 (-115o / -107u)
- Royals vs Twins spread: Twins -1.5 (+128 ), Royals +1.5 (-155)
Royals vs Twins Probable Pitchers
| RHP Seth Lugo (KCR) | Stat | RHP Taj Bradley (MIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | W-L | 9-4 |
| 1.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.6 |
| 4.36 / 5.42 | ERA / xERA | 3.69 / 3.93 |
| 4.27 / 4.46 | FIP / xFIP | 4.05 / 3.95 |
| 11.2% | K-BB% | 17.3% |
| 40.2% | GB% | 34.1% |
| .311 | BABIP | .268 |
| 89 | Stuff+ | 109 |
| 105 | Location+ | 91 |
Royals vs Twins MLB Betting Preview
Kansas City Royals Betting Preview
The Kansas City Royals come into this matchup with a 45-62 record and are 19-35 on the road. Seth Lugo has been solid lately, posting a 3.18 ERA with 14 strikeouts over his last three appearances.
Lugo is also coming off a season-high-tying seven innings in his last start, and the veteran right-hander will look to keep that strong second-half form going against Minnesota.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins, meanwhile, are 53-54 on the season and 28-26 at home. Taj Bradley has also been pitching well, posting a 3.79 ERA with 17 strikeouts across his last three appearances.
Bradley has gone at least seven innings in four of his last six starts, striking out 45 batters over 38 innings during that stretch. With both starters showing strong recent form, this could come down to which offense can capitalize on its opportunities.
Royals vs Twins Pick, Betting Analysis
Last season, Seth Lugo was a great matchup for HRs and while this season he's been better, he's still struggled with righty power, allowing a 1.69 HR/9.
Byron Buxton is one of the best HR hitters in the league and shouldn't be priced this high in a plus matchup.
I have the true odds around +250 today, making this a great EV bet.
Pick: Byron Buxton Over 0.5 Home Runs
